NHL · resolved market
AHL: Grand Rapids Griffins vs. Chicago Wolves
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6e83e7f0371dee26daeff0d0cf1f8dfaf4f1a4ea1853aac37c93d54c459e2b9e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chicago Wolvesof Grand Rapids Griffins, Chicago Wolves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,432
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,432 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Grand Rapids Griffins | 62c | 503.85$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.38 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09d3…3128backed Chicago Wolves | 38c | 441.05$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.45 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Grand Rapids Griffins | 63c | 203.71$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.34 | 865 | 49.1%425 W · 440 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddd3…dba6backed Grand Rapids Griffins | 61c | 174.46$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.42 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Chicago Wolves | 39c | 149.62$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 292 | 41.1%120 W · 172 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x622b…5a4abacked Chicago Wolves | 37c | 128.77$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.13 | 124 | 48.4%60 W · 64 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Chicago Wolves | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Chicago Wolves | 40c | 98.42$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.3 | 253 | 45.5%115 W · 138 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed Grand Rapids Griffins | 61c | 97.05$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.2 | 243 | 46.1%112 W · 131 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Grand Rapids Griffins | 64c | 91.43$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.28 | 99 | 35.4%35 W · 64 L | -7.7wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Chicago Wolves | 37c | 79.6$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.15 | 337 | 45.7%154 W · 183 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3101…e57fbacked Chicago Wolves | 35c | 49.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.49 | 102 | 47.1%48 W · 54 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15c5…4692backed Chicago Wolves | 36c | 49.44$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.72 | 279 | 47.3%132 W · 147 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c15…45a0backed Grand Rapids Griffins | 62c | 42$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.18 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66f1…d9cebacked Grand Rapids Griffins | 61c | 39.05$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.82 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Grand Rapids Griffins | 61c | 33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.29 | 314 | 48.7%153 W · 161 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5004…c07bbacked Chicago Wolves | 38c | 31.58$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.58 | 178 | 53.9%96 W · 82 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed Chicago Wolves | 37c | 27.03$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.03 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa049…4314backed Grand Rapids Griffins | 61c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.