Tennis · resolved market
ITF M15 Lambermont Men: Noah Schlagenhauf vs Stijn Paardekooper
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6e882f09cde8db8b0cbfb77cbf5966fe8debe7f5d18615e98c99e533fe36e273
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Stijn Paardekooperof Noah Schlagenhauf, Stijn Paardekooper
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,426
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,232
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,426 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6e9f…0eaebacked Noah Schlagenhauf | 55c | 19,387$10,717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,716.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Stijn Paardekooper | 44c | 8,164$3,631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,533.1 | 8,726 | 36.2%3,161 W · 5,565 L | -187.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Stijn Paardekooper | 45c | 4,671$2,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,591.54 | 3,621 | 45.3%1,641 W · 1,980 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Stijn Paardekooper | 54c | 1,649$883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765.76 | 4,159 | 52.8%2,198 W · 1,961 L | +66.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Noah Schlagenhauf | 56c | 1,362$763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$762.85 | 82 | 41.5%34 W · 48 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Stijn Paardekooper | 45c | 1,308$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.65 | 2,304 | 51.1%1,177 W · 1,127 L | +10.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a00…9158backed Stijn Paardekooper | 43c | 1,095$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.15 | 785 | 40.6%319 W · 466 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed Stijn Paardekooper | 46c | 839.5$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.43 | 250 | 42.4%106 W · 144 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Stijn Paardekooper | 46c | 646.98$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.37 | 965 | 41.5%400 W · 565 L | +14.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a3…9e12backed Stijn Paardekooper | 45c | 555.55$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.55 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd812…203fbacked Noah Schlagenhauf | 30c | 553.87$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.67 | 103 | 37.9%39 W · 64 L | -10.3wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Stijn Paardekooper | 45c | 500$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 264 | 41.7%110 W · 154 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Stijn Paardekooper | 46c | 452.26$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.32 | 1,435 | 24.3%348 W · 1,087 L | -36.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Stijn Paardekooper | 64c | 440.63$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.62 | 3,631 | 54.9%1,995 W · 1,636 L | +110.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Noah Schlagenhauf | 16c | 270.11$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.73 | 1,252 | 38.8%486 W · 766 L | -23.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd06b…3353backed Noah Schlagenhauf | 67c | 240.27$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.52 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 64cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a3…3f10backed Stijn Paardekooper | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4eea…8896backed Stijn Paardekooper | 46c | 205.54$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.99 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +3.0wins | +0.30per pick | 40cpaid | +109.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5513…de2abacked Noah Schlagenhauf | 15c | 128.73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.51 | 737 | 38.8%286 W · 451 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x876f…bbb9backed Stijn Paardekooper | 45c | 105$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.75 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5822…8774backed Stijn Paardekooper | 32c | 75.41$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.16 | 87 | 54%47 W · 40 L | -7.8wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Stijn Paardekooper | 42c | 72.16$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.85 | 3,541 | 42.4%1,501 W · 2,040 L | -44.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81a9…df08backed Stijn Paardekooper | 54c | 72$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.12 | 265 | 46.4%123 W · 142 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Noah Schlagenhauf | 21c | 70$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.93 | 8,396 | 42.6%3,578 W · 4,818 L | -162.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b04…403fbacked Stijn Paardekooper | 46c | 68.52$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | -4.8wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -28%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…56bdbacked Stijn Paardekooper | 46c | 66$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.85 | 603 | 41.1%248 W · 355 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ea…2f71backed Noah Schlagenhauf | 24c | 60$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 435 | 58.9%256 W · 179 L | +23.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9714…5152backed Stijn Paardekooper | 45c | 55.8$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.69 | 157 | 39.5%62 W · 95 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Stijn Paardekooper | 42c | 55$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.07 | 568 | 27.3%155 W · 413 L | +23.1wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +25%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac9e…cca3backed Stijn Paardekooper | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 218 | 56.4%123 W · 95 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5974…5c32backed Stijn Paardekooper | 64c | 49.22$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.72 | 443 | 65.9%292 W · 151 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4abd…5a5cbacked Stijn Paardekooper | 63c | 49$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.13 | 379 | 59.1%224 W · 155 L | +26.4wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Stijn Paardekooper | 65c | 47.49$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.62 | 2,004 | 53.2%1,067 W · 937 L | +52.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5452…d12ebacked Stijn Paardekooper | 66c | 47.12$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.05 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe839…0a9dbacked Noah Schlagenhauf | 29c | 45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 382 | 57.6%220 W · 162 L | +19.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d70…a5fdbacked Noah Schlagenhauf | 58c | 43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Noah Schlagenhauf | 47c | 40.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.89 | 3,809 | 45.4%1,730 W · 2,079 L | -35.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8cd…ce28backed Noah Schlagenhauf | 56c | 35.58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 65cpaid | -55%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Stijn Paardekooper | 43c | 27.81$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.8 | 922 | 37.4%345 W · 577 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b3…966bbacked Noah Schlagenhauf | 50c | 25.67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.85 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ad…5097backed Stijn Paardekooper | 50c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.45 | 257 | 68.1%175 W · 82 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd819…2d80backed Noah Schlagenhauf | 56c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 146 | 53.4%78 W · 68 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad22…1e9fbacked Stijn Paardekooper | 46c | 24.89$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Stijn Paardekooper | 54c | 23.26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.7 | 1,212 | 52%630 W · 582 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26d3…8a20backed Noah Schlagenhauf | 79c | 15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 94 | 66%62 W · 32 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.