Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Charleston Cougars vs. Elon Phoenix
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6eb1f33ded14cb9694910e8c923d34a587ebd79fc364bffde623b20b1ae8e4e9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Charleston Cougarsof Charleston Cougars, Elon Phoenix
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,890
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,344
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,890 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x781c…db68backed Charleston Cougars | 75c | 6,400$4,793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,607.04 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde6d…0926backed Elon Phoenix | 28c | 5,347$1,494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,493.95 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Elon Phoenix | 12c | 4,295$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.37 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed Elon Phoenix | 32c | 3,125$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 190 | 50.5%96 W · 94 L | +15.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Elon Phoenix | 30c | 470.17$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.52 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Charleston Cougars | 41c | 400$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Charleston Cougars | 72c | 316$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.18 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Charleston Cougars | 72c | 301.73$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.03 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Elon Phoenix | 59c | 297$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.23 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0d…8bcabacked Elon Phoenix | 10c | 206.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Elon Phoenix | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Elon Phoenix | 26c | 117.47$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc17f…50aabacked Elon Phoenix | 59c | 101.35$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.8 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Elon Phoenix | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Elon Phoenix | 57c | 69.87$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.67 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb82d…5d1ebacked Elon Phoenix | 56c | 51$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.56 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72ea…d4f2backed Charleston Cougars | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 217 | 46.1%100 W · 117 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Charleston Cougars | 41c | 39.5$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.11 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Elon Phoenix | 56c | 33$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.48 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a23…97a7backed Elon Phoenix | 58c | 20.51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 215 | 35.3%76 W · 139 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Charleston Cougars vs. Elon Phoenixthis page
- Spread: Elon Phoenix (-2.5)Charleston Cougars won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.