Tennis · resolved market
ITF Rochester: Alexander Bernard vs Daniel Kliebhan
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6f0f038c7725baa0778f033cf99318a93125cf1a1dff7f31fd4541838e22c933
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Alexander Bernardof Alexander Bernard, Daniel Kliebhan
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,400
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $59,270
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,400 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x060f…5a9dbacked Alexander Bernard | 79c | 18,146$14,394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,752.63 | 76 | 72.4%55 W · 21 L | +6.8wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Daniel Kliebhan | 20c | 12,594$2,544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,544.44 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Daniel Kliebhan | 20c | 2,094$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.81 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Daniel Kliebhan | 42c | 860.8$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.56 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Daniel Kliebhan | 18c | 763.62$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.89 | 1,822 | 41%747 W · 1,075 L | -30.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Daniel Kliebhan | 20c | 707.77$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.99 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Daniel Kliebhan | 19c | 427.04$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.92 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Daniel Kliebhan | 21c | 252.38$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 1,417 | 45.2%640 W · 777 L | +41.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Daniel Kliebhan | 41c | 181.96$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.77 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Daniel Kliebhan | 18c | 101$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.37 | 920 | 46.6%429 W · 491 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74f9…6024backed Daniel Kliebhan | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 561 | 53.7%301 W · 260 L | +19.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce0…9d0bbacked Alexander Bernard | 73c | 47.95$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.95 | 241 | 59.3%143 W · 98 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Daniel Kliebhan | 42c | 43$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.9 | 561 | 53.7%301 W · 260 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc72…cd13backed Daniel Kliebhan | 24c | 42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 978 | 52%509 W · 469 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…8689backed Daniel Kliebhan | 42c | 38$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.98 | 275 | 50.2%138 W · 137 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Daniel Kliebhan | 42c | 26.25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.03 | 551 | 49.7%274 W · 277 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe01…b45dbacked Alexander Bernard | 75c | 21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 223 | 77.6%173 W · 50 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 77cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.