Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: Switzerland 0 - 1 Canada?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6f4dd8b4fd6c370b70afec71fe658781f5007ee4f4a92f4421744ec6f2ed0448
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $108,320
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $114,864
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $108,320 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa4fd…748bbacked Yes | 2c | 41,741$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 147 | 27.2%40 W · 107 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 10c | 9,638$977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$976.52 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7735…4740backed Yes | 10c | 7,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 672 | 9.2%62 W · 610 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Yes | 9c | 2,500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 122 | 27.9%34 W · 88 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed8…7c2fbacked Yes | 9c | 1,667$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 485 | 26.8%130 W · 355 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9254…3af8backed Yes | 10c | 1,500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 172 | 11%19 W · 153 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b58…eba2backed Yes | 17c | 1,176$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 99 | 34.3%34 W · 65 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2878…466dbacked Yes | 9c | 1,111$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 138 | 26.1%36 W · 102 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -21%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce3…2317backed Yes | 10c | 889.8$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.98 | 83 | 34.9%29 W · 54 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3d…d65dbacked Yes | 9c | 777.78$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 388 | 17%66 W · 322 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb948…f0cdbacked Yes | 17c | 705.88$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7525…ad62backed Yes | 15c | 689.67$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.91 | 132 | 15.2%20 W · 112 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 9c | 596$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.64 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfac…bc1cbacked Yes | 10c | 567.54$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.08 | 62 | 22.6%14 W · 48 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c67…a0e0backed Yes | 9c | 555.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 165 | 37.6%62 W · 103 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81ed…59f5backed Yes | 9c | 527.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 608 | 21.9%133 W · 475 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb4…36c4backed Yes | 11c | 454.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b77…b4e1backed Yes | 10c | 411.6$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.16 | 74 | 24.3%18 W · 56 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf10a…d6c2backed Yes | 9c | 333.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 510 | 45.3%231 W · 279 L | +21.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95b0…588fbacked Yes | 9c | 333.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 213 | 21.1%45 W · 168 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabfe…256ebacked Yes | 9c | 324.33$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.19 | 32 | 6.3%2 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e69…755bbacked Yes | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 160 | 19.4%31 W · 129 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe65e…b719backed Yes | 17c | 294.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 170 | 40%68 W · 102 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1134…572abacked Yes | 9c | 277.78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 104 | 16.3%17 W · 87 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Yes | 11c | 250$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 414 | 29%120 W · 294 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…2b31backed Yes | 17c | 249.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.5 | 74 | 31.1%23 W · 51 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +33%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d67…4d3ebacked Yes | 10c | 238.1$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.81 | 55 | 10.9%6 W · 49 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…d204backed Yes | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 97 | 38.1%37 W · 60 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe92e…535dbacked Yes | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 273 | 27.5%75 W · 198 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6592…2767backed Yes | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 137 | 18.2%25 W · 112 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe995…5255backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 160 | 30.6%49 W · 111 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x883d…d2e8backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 87 | 11.5%10 W · 77 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2f…37ddbacked Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 184 | 33.7%62 W · 122 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f2…ed60backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae1…378fbacked Yes | 16c | 199.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 189 | 29.1%55 W · 134 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71a2…152abacked Yes | 12c | 170.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ae…8eadbacked Yes | 10c | 169.57$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.96 | 355 | 14.4%51 W · 304 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e83…3bb7backed Yes | 9c | 166.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 1,206 | 32.7%394 W · 812 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd255…bbcabacked Yes | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 87 | 11.5%10 W · 77 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 8c | 150$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 396 | 21%83 W · 313 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe444…fa95backed Yes | 10c | 139.3$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.93 | 89 | 30.3%27 W · 62 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfb5…0f14backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 198 | 25.3%50 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 16c | 120.48$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.28 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb966…6e44backed Yes | 10c | 120$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba5c…c5edbacked Yes | 10c | 104.4$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 70 | 22.9%16 W · 54 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec12…fd9dbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 155 | 19.4%30 W · 125 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57f9…bcd9backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x477c…fe04backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 150 | 32%48 W · 102 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdc2…b720backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 114 | 17.5%20 W · 94 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b53…ce04backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 106 | 10.4%11 W · 95 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd7c…ee32backed Yes | 17c | 88.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 59 | 32.2%19 W · 40 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf547…4facbacked Yes | 17c | 68.76$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.69 | 32 | 9.4%3 W · 29 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1150…11d7backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 57 | 33.3%19 W · 38 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: Switzerland 0 - 1 Canada?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
- Exact Score: Switzerland 0 - 0 Canada?No won
- Exact Score: Switzerland 0 - 2 Canada?No won
- Exact Score: Switzerland 0 - 3 Canada?No won
- Exact Score: Switzerland 1 - 0 Canada?No won
- Exact Score: Switzerland 1 - 1 Canada?No won
- Exact Score: Switzerland 1 - 2 Canada?No won
- Exact Score: Switzerland 1 - 3 Canada?No won
- Exact Score: Switzerland 2 - 0 Canada?No won
- Exact Score: Switzerland 2 - 1 Canada?Yes won
- Exact Score: Switzerland 2 - 2 Canada?No won
- Exact Score: Switzerland 2 - 3 Canada?No won
- Exact Score: Switzerland 3 - 0 Canada?No won
- Exact Score: Switzerland 3 - 1 Canada?No won
- Exact Score: Switzerland 3 - 2 Canada?No won
- Exact Score: Switzerland 3 - 3 Canada?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.