Tennis · resolved market
ITF M25 Ueberlingen Men: David Fix vs Nikolai Barsukov
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6f8b879025d0dc23c0306bac77acb64cc5094a03468595584835a7ca1cc5aec8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- David Fixof David Fix, Nikolai Barsukov
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,494
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,571
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,494 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5513…de2abacked Nikolai Barsukov | 29c | 2,207$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.82 | 788 | 38.2%301 W · 487 L | -15.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed David Fix | 65c | 410.35$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.6 | 1,308 | 38.9%509 W · 799 L | -23.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c99…8b23backed David Fix | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 161 | 60.2%97 W · 64 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5a…d0f0backed David Fix | 69c | 300$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 461 | 55.3%255 W · 206 L | +19.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked David Fix | 52c | 178.5$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.11 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Nikolai Barsukov | 47c | 123.4$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.97 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed David Fix | 67c | 118.71$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.18 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Nikolai Barsukov | 33c | 118$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.94 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e14…5169backed David Fix | 75c | 101.26$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.31 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -4.1wins | -0.11per pick | 67cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdf8c…e040backed David Fix | 64c | 95.92$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.66 | 648 | 37.5%243 W · 405 L | -32.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Nikolai Barsukov | 35c | 88$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Nikolai Barsukov | 36c | 73.79$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.3 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Nikolai Barsukov | 38c | 68.31$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.86 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68b6…99b4backed David Fix | 66c | 66.96$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.77 | 134 | 53.7%72 W · 62 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Nikolai Barsukov | 33c | 63.32$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.13 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Nikolai Barsukov | 34c | 52$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.68 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed David Fix | 65c | 36.6$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.93 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…494fbacked Nikolai Barsukov | 31c | 36.41$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.37 | 447 | 29.3%131 W · 316 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed David Fix | 71c | 32.41$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5974…5c32backed Nikolai Barsukov | 50c | 32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 455 | 66.4%302 W · 153 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b36ebacked Nikolai Barsukov | 34c | 30.95$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 509 | 46.6%237 W · 272 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5b…1ddfbacked Nikolai Barsukov | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 104 | 37.5%39 W · 65 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed David Fix | 49c | 29.77$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.23 | 489 | 47.4%232 W · 257 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b25…7a69backed Nikolai Barsukov | 44c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 81 | 42%34 W · 47 L | -8.7wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2326…b627backed Nikolai Barsukov | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 1,256 | 65.4%821 W · 435 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.