South American Leagues · resolved market
SE Palmeiras vs. Club Cerro Porteño: O/U 9.5 Total Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6fa3e3358b13aa875e384d363602cd1ad13ccb051d578114a83b1d60f884b610
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,566
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,621
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,566 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x41de…deedbacked Under | 44c | 1,003$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.81 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x481d…9098backed Under | 45c | 676.78$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.23 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.9wins | +0.36per pick | 51cpaid | +82.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f8…ae2ebacked Over | 56c | 556.53$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.65 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca15…0d5ebacked Over | 55c | 454.55$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Over | 56c | 418$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.08 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd679…91a0backed Under | 44c | 411.23$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.74 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +21%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a59…6961backed Over | 55c | 198.69$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.28 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb88a…f6adbacked Over | 56c | 167$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.52 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5633…59bcbacked Over | 56c | 167$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.52 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 45c | 157.15$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.2 | 424 | 62.3%264 W · 160 L | +24.4wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff4e…63e0backed Over | 56c | 92$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0612…559abacked Over | 56c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd6…f3c8backed Over | 56c | 45.78$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.64 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 44c | 38$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.28 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 44c | 38$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.28 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Under | 44c | 37.36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.83 | 506 | 56.3%285 W · 221 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b6…e0a0backed Over | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x205b…d66abacked Under | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1501…783fbacked Over | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…7f72backed Over | 56c | 28.44$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.93 | 117 | 47.9%56 W · 61 L | -9.7wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9a51…bf4cbacked Over | 56c | 21.38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a96…b382backed Over | 56c | 18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- SE Palmeiras vs. Club Cerro Porteño: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersthis page
- SE Palmeiras vs. Club Cerro Porteño: O/U 10.5 Total CornersUnder won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.