CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs Sharks - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6fb5dc8de3a3fef257f705ea4889e7b56209a640b96e050d36dbddea175e3e63
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Inner Circle Esportsof Inner Circle Esports, Sharks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,484
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,587
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,484 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked Inner Circle Esports | 46c | 969.42$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.42 | 353 | 41.6%147 W · 206 L | -28.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x614b…ca37backed Sharks | 33c | 601.9$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197 | 119 | 59.7%71 W · 48 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Sharks | 28c | 350$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 1,278 | 21.9%280 W · 998 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x490a…1d4bbacked Inner Circle Esports | 48c | 333.24$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.92 | 292 | 35.6%104 W · 188 L | -11.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…0d2ebacked Sharks | 32c | 250$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 583 | 43.6%254 W · 329 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Sharks | 52c | 205.56$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.21 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aae…0da3backed Sharks | 64c | 156.38$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 142 | 55.6%79 W · 63 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…a1d3backed Sharks | 50c | 139.9$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 265 | 64.2%170 W · 95 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Inner Circle Esports | 54c | 131.5$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.36 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Inner Circle Esports | 53c | 95.52$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.61 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x467e…4a19backed Sharks | 53c | 84.41$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.99 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c7…620cbacked Sharks | 51c | 83.19$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.56 | 141 | 44%62 W · 79 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc2…8b9bbacked Sharks | 57c | 59.96$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.18 | 158 | 54.4%86 W · 72 L | -9.3wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8772…982dbacked Sharks | 59c | 59.32$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 137 | 53.3%73 W · 64 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f87…f04ebacked Inner Circle Esports | 54c | 56.81$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.13 | 266 | 53.4%142 W · 124 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd45…a81dbacked Sharks | 59c | 54$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.86 | 271 | 50.6%137 W · 134 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cd…e027backed Sharks | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 489 | 43.6%213 W · 276 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbeb5…b56dbacked Sharks | 59c | 45.44$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.81 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92e6…8222backed Inner Circle Esports | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 222 | 59.9%133 W · 89 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed Inner Circle Esports | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 447 | 48.1%215 W · 232 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs Sharks - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs Sharks (BO3) - BC Game Masters Championship PlayoffsInner Circle Esports won
- Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs Sharks - Map 1 WinnerSharks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.