TailMyPicks

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Tennis · resolved market

ITF Palma Del Rio: Meritxell Teixido Garcia vs Sabine Rutlauka

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Meritxell Teixido Garciaof Meritxell Teixido Garcia, Sabine Rutlauka
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$6,015
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$6,446

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,015 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc07d…b1dfbacked Meritxell Teixido Garcia75c2,053$1,539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$514.382,38355.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L+49.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Sabine Rutlauka26c1,091$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.151,95943.7%857 W · 1,102 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Sabine Rutlauka20c727.42$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.498,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Meritxell Teixido Garcia62c660.29$412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.3111,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26eb…5369backed Sabine Rutlauka29c336.07$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.4613754%74 W · 63 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0009…5497backed Meritxell Teixido Garcia56c244.2$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.561,88048.5%912 W · 968 L+8.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6770…5bdfbacked Sabine Rutlauka26c221.82$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.8996945.9%445 W · 524 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Sabine Rutlauka44c207$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.081,82241%747 W · 1,075 L-30.2wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Meritxell Teixido Garcia75c144.87$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.822,08252.3%1,088 W · 994 L+19.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Sabine Rutlauka41c127.9$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.216,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Sabine Rutlauka23c120$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271,87016%299 W · 1,571 L-314.3wins-0.17per pick33cpaid-65.6%equal weight32-0.17 edge/pick
0x362c…67e6backed Sabine Rutlauka42c112.77$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.1137255.6%207 W · 165 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Meritxell Teixido Garcia63c100.11$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.578,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Meritxell Teixido Garcia54c89.89$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.091,06242%446 W · 616 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Meritxell Teixido Garcia62c81.75$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.772,76153.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L+73.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd8bb…7cefbacked Sabine Rutlauka32c79.8$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.7836743.6%160 W · 207 L+0.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd1e…4754backed Sabine Rutlauka31c75.89$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.3243444.9%195 W · 239 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x41a5…f71bbacked Meritxell Teixido Garcia67c69.21$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.751353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b48…1d20backed Meritxell Teixido Garcia45c56.49$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.172142.9%9 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93dd…2f33backed Meritxell Teixido Garcia62c45.11$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.045556.4%31 W · 24 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Meritxell Teixido Garcia68c44.9$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.192,85439.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L-83.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe741…a9d1backed Sabine Rutlauka45c44.53$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.0425948.6%126 W · 133 L-1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82aa…fe2fbacked Sabine Rutlauka62c40$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.862727.3%171 W · 456 L-15.7wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7f3…d6dcbacked Meritxell Teixido Garcia50c27.97$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.0387060.2%524 W · 346 L+28.4wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd819…2d80backed Sabine Rutlauka52c22.24$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.6315155%83 W · 68 L-0.5wins0.00per pick55cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.