CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: QUINTESSÊNCIA vs METANOIA WOLVES - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7000c6ae5e69ef96a444b630ad8e654258270c5d686a0406ea941a669854b0e2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- QUINTESSÊNCIAof QUINTESSÊNCIA, METANOIA WOLVES
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,769
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,489
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,769 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd3b3…70adbacked METANOIA WOLVES | 3c | 7,547$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.49 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed QUINTESSÊNCIA | 50c | 1,252$628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.09 | 1,431 | 39%558 W · 873 L | -41.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed METANOIA WOLVES | 71c | 704.44$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.4 | 4,099 | 51%2,091 W · 2,008 L | +74.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed QUINTESSÊNCIA | 71c | 632.34$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.21 | 1,041 | 53.1%553 W · 488 L | +63.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked QUINTESSÊNCIA | 73c | 383.34$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.4 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61a8…519dbacked METANOIA WOLVES | 32c | 375.84$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 149 | 45%67 W · 82 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked METANOIA WOLVES | 28c | 338.89$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.98 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked METANOIA WOLVES | 43c | 234.97$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.48 | 5,034 | 37.2%1,874 W · 3,160 L | -260.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked QUINTESSÊNCIA | 52c | 233.12$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.86 | 1,790 | 59.2%1,060 W · 730 L | +106.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc818…1da3backed METANOIA WOLVES | 23c | 219.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 89 | 25.8%23 W · 66 L | -7.6wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked METANOIA WOLVES | 50c | 189.53$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.02 | 1,397 | 52.4%732 W · 665 L | +30.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed METANOIA WOLVES | 21c | 171.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.27 | 2,474 | 24.7%611 W · 1,863 L | -316.9wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1e…4754backed METANOIA WOLVES | 69c | 130.43$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 98 | 53.1%52 W · 46 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc0c…dac0backed QUINTESSÊNCIA | 72c | 130$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 431 | 75.9%327 W · 104 L | +24.8wins | +0.06per pick | 70cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked QUINTESSÊNCIA | 64c | 104.42$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.27 | 817 | 44.7%365 W · 452 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked METANOIA WOLVES | 45c | 99$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.44 | 531 | 35%186 W · 345 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed QUINTESSÊNCIA | 55c | 88.5$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.82 | 338 | 44.4%150 W · 188 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa825…2ef0backed METANOIA WOLVES | 60c | 87.58$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.55 | 147 | 44.9%66 W · 81 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked QUINTESSÊNCIA | 56c | 80.13$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.42 | 3,544 | 29.3%1,037 W · 2,507 L | -289.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x267c…5bfdbacked QUINTESSÊNCIA | 72c | 66.21$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.73 | 180 | 55%99 W · 81 L | +11.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3db7…375cbacked QUINTESSÊNCIA | 38c | 60.84$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.7 | 114 | 21.1%24 W · 90 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed METANOIA WOLVES | 52c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.37 | 2,393 | 46.7%1,118 W · 1,275 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked QUINTESSÊNCIA | 58c | 60$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.11 | 2,143 | 47.3%1,013 W · 1,130 L | -61.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe90f…a908backed QUINTESSÊNCIA | 57c | 43.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.51 | 119 | 56.3%67 W · 52 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e6b…dc55backed QUINTESSÊNCIA | 40c | 42.39$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.37 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 36cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x021a…d3aebacked METANOIA WOLVES | 43c | 41.76$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.96 | 253 | 42.3%107 W · 146 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed METANOIA WOLVES | 68c | 40$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 659 | 46.6%307 W · 352 L | +12.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x604e…2cb1backed QUINTESSÊNCIA | 29c | 37.93$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.93 | 48 | 22.9%11 W · 37 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked QUINTESSÊNCIA | 67c | 37.79$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.42 | 4,754 | 43.6%2,071 W · 2,683 L | -85.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked QUINTESSÊNCIA | 53c | 35.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.96 | 3,949 | 36.5%1,443 W · 2,506 L | -201.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked METANOIA WOLVES | 29c | 35$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 1,142 | 54.4%621 W · 521 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd3…226ebacked QUINTESSÊNCIA | 44c | 30.01$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.92 | 384 | 21.9%84 W · 300 L | -44.9wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6f98…cb91backed QUINTESSÊNCIA | 56c | 26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.44 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed QUINTESSÊNCIA | 66c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.48 | 224 | 49.6%111 W · 113 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8811…627cbacked QUINTESSÊNCIA | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 409 | 72.4%296 W · 113 L | +38.0wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +10%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5321…5be7backed METANOIA WOLVES | 71c | 16.9$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: QUINTESSÊNCIA vs METANOIA WOLVES - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: QUINTESSÊNCIA vs METANOIA WOLVES (BO3) - CCT South America Challengers #2 PlayoffsQUINTESSÊNCIA won
- Counter-Strike: QUINTESSÊNCIA vs METANOIA WOLVES - Map 2 WinnerQUINTESSÊNCIA won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.