CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: QUINTESSÊNCIA vs METANOIA WOLVES (BO3) - CCT South America Challengers #2 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7e330de0adb3fbb3466184c9e678e5154a0b8ffab5f2764addbe077b3a93cc4f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- QUINTESSÊNCIAof QUINTESSÊNCIA, METANOIA WOLVES
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,032
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,253
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,032 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed QUINTESSÊNCIA | 50c | 1,555$774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$781.22 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdda3…d55fbacked METANOIA WOLVES | 36c | 500$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked METANOIA WOLVES | 65c | 499.98$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.99 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed METANOIA WOLVES | 47c | 418.68$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.45 | 694 | 45%312 W · 382 L | -24.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e4…dd38backed QUINTESSÊNCIA | 62c | 359.96$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.56 | 370 | 57%211 W · 159 L | +16.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6d…ab76backed METANOIA WOLVES | 49c | 351.99$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.47 | 338 | 49.7%168 W · 170 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed QUINTESSÊNCIA | 52c | 350$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.72 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb21b…88f9backed METANOIA WOLVES | 50c | 350$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 470 | 54%254 W · 216 L | +12.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed QUINTESSÊNCIA | 50c | 330.49$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.03 | 1,620 | 52.7%853 W · 767 L | +57.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked METANOIA WOLVES | 29c | 314.3$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.24 | 752 | 45.3%341 W · 411 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc0c…dac0backed QUINTESSÊNCIA | 71c | 268.33$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.8 | 414 | 75.4%312 W · 102 L | +22.1wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked METANOIA WOLVES | 39c | 251.09$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.81 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadeb…5850backed METANOIA WOLVES | 50c | 229.4$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.31 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb595…5922backed METANOIA WOLVES | 33c | 192.7$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.98 | 199 | 53.8%107 W · 92 L | +10.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d25…0f79backed QUINTESSÊNCIA | 57c | 165.18$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.18 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba9…a8d8backed QUINTESSÊNCIA | 64c | 150$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.7 | 406 | 66.3%269 W · 137 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed METANOIA WOLVES | 40c | 150$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 351 | 41.6%146 W · 205 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed METANOIA WOLVES | 45c | 121.87$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.81 | 488 | 51.8%253 W · 235 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked METANOIA WOLVES | 19c | 119.07$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.59 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x267c…5bfdbacked METANOIA WOLVES | 53c | 114.81$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.1 | 179 | 55.3%99 W · 80 L | +11.8wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked QUINTESSÊNCIA | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.3 | 1,352 | 52%703 W · 649 L | +29.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked METANOIA WOLVES | 13c | 99.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.38 | 723 | 53.5%387 W · 336 L | +28.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed METANOIA WOLVES | 43c | 80$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.4 | 169 | 45%76 W · 93 L | +10.0wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd3…226ebacked QUINTESSÊNCIA | 50c | 70.26$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.13 | 379 | 22.2%84 W · 295 L | -43.1wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked QUINTESSÊNCIA | 58c | 69$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.71 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed METANOIA WOLVES | 49c | 64.78$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.74 | 619 | 48%297 W · 322 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…70e3backed QUINTESSÊNCIA | 50c | 60.41$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.21 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | -7.6wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed METANOIA WOLVES | 56c | 60$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.3 | 1,033 | 53.2%550 W · 483 L | +64.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed METANOIA WOLVES | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 170 | 38.8%66 W · 104 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed METANOIA WOLVES | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9266…a9d3backed METANOIA WOLVES | 46c | 42.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.41 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked QUINTESSÊNCIA | 59c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x059d…caf8backed QUINTESSÊNCIA | 51c | 38.53$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.88 | 113 | 48.7%55 W · 58 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked QUINTESSÊNCIA | 55c | 32.23$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.57 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked QUINTESSÊNCIA | 61c | 30.91$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.05 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked QUINTESSÊNCIA | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.95 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed QUINTESSÊNCIA | 56c | 26.31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.57 | 109 | 56.9%62 W · 47 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7a…b8bdbacked QUINTESSÊNCIA | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 70 | 68.6%48 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed QUINTESSÊNCIA | 59c | 25.36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.34 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7523…68a0backed QUINTESSÊNCIA | 56c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.12 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb77…fbeebacked METANOIA WOLVES | 65c | 24$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 231 | 56.3%130 W · 101 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked QUINTESSÊNCIA | 61c | 22.95$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.97 | 1,068 | 55%587 W · 481 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed QUINTESSÊNCIA | 57c | 17.55$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.55 | 771 | 46%355 W · 416 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: QUINTESSÊNCIA vs METANOIA WOLVES (BO3) - CCT South America Challengers #2 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: QUINTESSÊNCIA vs METANOIA WOLVES - Map 1 WinnerQUINTESSÊNCIA won
- Counter-Strike: QUINTESSÊNCIA vs METANOIA WOLVES - Map 2 WinnerQUINTESSÊNCIA won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.