Europa Conference League · resolved market
FC Sheriff Tiraspol vs. NK Aluminij: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x700bd23ab5f437260c74fce0a04c5d85bc6003ef420d4740d41971b4a73711d3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,277
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,276
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,277 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Over | 22c | 5,792$1,274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,274.25 | 45 | 13.3%6 W · 39 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb2…5c04backed Over | 2c | 1,200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 47 | 2.1%1 W · 46 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 74c | 1,179$873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.83 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Over | 23c | 599.99$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 94 | 31.9%30 W · 64 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 33c | 510.05$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.19 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Under | 48c | 500.36$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.57 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | -7.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 16c | 429.21$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.61 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x789f…3e7dbacked Over | 52c | 400$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 75c | 184.3$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.46 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e50…4b22backed Under | 50c | 119.99$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.39 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 73c | 102.77$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.07 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b42…7cbebacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Over | 47c | 71.75$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.72 | 79 | 58.2%46 W · 33 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf04…90b5backed Over | 51c | 66.67$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 49c | 60.59$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.84 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13a8…2cc5backed Over | 51c | 59.95$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.58 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa807…cc2ebacked Under | 53c | 59.55$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.99 | 138 | 39.1%54 W · 84 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8228…b2fbbacked Over | 49c | 53.06$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4061…dde5backed Over | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 63 | 28.6%18 W · 45 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed Under | 48c | 49$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.48 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Over | 50c | 41.67$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.84 | 142 | 45.8%65 W · 77 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Over | 52c | 41.29$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.37 | 973 | 46%448 W · 525 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…c118backed Under | 49c | 39.81$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.3 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Over | 52c | 38.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 184 | 49.5%91 W · 93 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9565…ec9abacked Under | 78c | 32.05$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.05 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 50c | 30.2$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 266 | 47.4%126 W · 140 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 476 | 49.4%235 W · 241 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 48c | 24.4$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.71 | 555 | 45.8%254 W · 301 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 53c | 22.91$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.75 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c52…99e1backed Under | 77c | 15.68$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.68 | 42 | 78.6%33 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 75cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Sheriff Tiraspol vs. NK Aluminij: O/U 2.5this page
- FC Sheriff Tiraspol vs. NK Aluminij: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- FC Sheriff Tiraspol vs. NK Aluminij: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- FC Sheriff Tiraspol vs. NK Aluminij: FC Sheriff Tiraspol O/U 0.5Under won
- FC Sheriff Tiraspol vs. NK Aluminij: FC Sheriff Tiraspol O/U 1.5Under won
- FC Sheriff Tiraspol vs. NK Aluminij: O/U 0.5Under won
- FC Sheriff Tiraspol vs. NK Aluminij: O/U 1.5Under won
- FC Sheriff Tiraspol vs. NK Aluminij: O/U 3.5Under won
- FC Sheriff Tiraspol vs. NK Aluminij: O/U 4.5Under won
- FC Sheriff Tiraspol vs. NK Aluminij: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: FC Sheriff Tiraspol (-1.5)NK Aluminij won
- Spread: FC Sheriff Tiraspol (-2.5)NK Aluminij won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.