Europa Conference League · resolved market
Spread: FC Sheriff Tiraspol (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbcfa22168687cba44226dc557f6dd376537f6f7ac7ab38f2a992cc2b08aeecc2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- NK Aluminijof FC Sheriff Tiraspol, NK Aluminij
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,374
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,409
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,374 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked FC Sheriff Tiraspol | 37c | 2,549$954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$953.94 | 384 | 53.1%204 W · 180 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked FC Sheriff Tiraspol | 30c | 1,967$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.16 | 638 | 57.2%365 W · 273 L | +35.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked NK Aluminij | 69c | 1,888$1,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.13 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked NK Aluminij | 67c | 1,809$1,213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.13 | 1,033 | 46.1%476 W · 557 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed NK Aluminij | 72c | 1,601$1,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.86 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed NK Aluminij | 61c | 1,477$907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.86 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed FC Sheriff Tiraspol | 37c | 1,253$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.14 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed NK Aluminij | 63c | 1,036$656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.16 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed NK Aluminij | 54c | 967.99$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.71 | 568 | 49.6%282 W · 286 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed NK Aluminij | 66c | 956.17$634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.02 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0500…6158backed FC Sheriff Tiraspol | 47c | 936.17$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed FC Sheriff Tiraspol | 31c | 525.9$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.45 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x162c…6c47backed NK Aluminij | 55c | 456.44$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.4 | 101 | 57.4%58 W · 43 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e20…e3c8backed FC Sheriff Tiraspol | 50c | 426$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -4.0wins | -0.40per pick | 50cpaid | -86%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x624d…ff0abacked FC Sheriff Tiraspol | 47c | 421.48$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed FC Sheriff Tiraspol | 47c | 415.57$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.58 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed FC Sheriff Tiraspol | 30c | 400$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 155 | 44.5%69 W · 86 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed FC Sheriff Tiraspol | 31c | 393$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.83 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed NK Aluminij | 50c | 390.04$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.02 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed NK Aluminij | 55c | 306.63$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.28 | 1,114 | 35.8%399 W · 715 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked FC Sheriff Tiraspol | 39c | 283.13$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.96 | 778 | 55%428 W · 350 L | +23.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed FC Sheriff Tiraspol | 47c | 239$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.33 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…95a2backed NK Aluminij | 62c | 217.13$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked FC Sheriff Tiraspol | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 783 | 44.8%351 W · 432 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…8689backed FC Sheriff Tiraspol | 31c | 196$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.26 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed FC Sheriff Tiraspol | 31c | 196$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.26 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed NK Aluminij | 52c | 186.58$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.56 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed FC Sheriff Tiraspol | 31c | 175.23$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.47 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked NK Aluminij | 51c | 161.89$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.65 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc593…ea8cbacked FC Sheriff Tiraspol | 31c | 152$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.62 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -26%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed FC Sheriff Tiraspol | 16c | 150$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 795 | 32.2%256 W · 539 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed FC Sheriff Tiraspol | 40c | 130.8$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.27 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2458…bd24backed FC Sheriff Tiraspol | 46c | 130.43$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed NK Aluminij | 52c | 130$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.4 | 318 | 42.1%134 W · 184 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed NK Aluminij | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 75 | 58.7%44 W · 31 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked FC Sheriff Tiraspol | 31c | 95.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -3.9wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa807…cc2ebacked NK Aluminij | 64c | 79.95$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 138 | 39.1%54 W · 84 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed NK Aluminij | 53c | 76.86$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.81 | 555 | 45.8%254 W · 301 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce5e…c0fabacked NK Aluminij | 59c | 74.02$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.35 | 82 | 45.1%37 W · 45 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked FC Sheriff Tiraspol | 41c | 74.02$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.35 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked NK Aluminij | 58c | 73.14$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.72 | 90 | 62.2%56 W · 34 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked NK Aluminij | 59c | 70.11$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.59 | 363 | 56.5%205 W · 158 L | +17.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked NK Aluminij | 52c | 70$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed FC Sheriff Tiraspol | 31c | 63.38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.81 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -5.8wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed FC Sheriff Tiraspol | 48c | 63.13$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.04 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked FC Sheriff Tiraspol | 47c | 59.98$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.07 | 476 | 49.4%235 W · 241 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed FC Sheriff Tiraspol | 39c | 54$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.21 | 370 | 43.8%162 W · 208 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3637…21a4backed FC Sheriff Tiraspol | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.19per pick | 59cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1b77…6ba1backed FC Sheriff Tiraspol | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked FC Sheriff Tiraspol | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 142 | 33.1%47 W · 95 L | -9.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed NK Aluminij | 61c | 49$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.11 | 57 | 61.4%35 W · 22 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed FC Sheriff Tiraspol | 47c | 46.17$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 1,022 | 47.5%485 W · 537 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed NK Aluminij | 52c | 42.78$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.73 | 142 | 45.8%65 W · 77 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed FC Sheriff Tiraspol | 32c | 40.09$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed FC Sheriff Tiraspol | 47c | 39.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked FC Sheriff Tiraspol | 43c | 38.71$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.83 | 973 | 46%448 W · 525 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed NK Aluminij | 53c | 37.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.97 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed NK Aluminij | 71c | 32.68$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbd…d0dfbacked FC Sheriff Tiraspol | 36c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ac…8de4backed NK Aluminij | 80c | 26.91$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.38 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c2…080bbacked NK Aluminij | 80c | 25.21$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.04 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 68cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ac…b73dbacked NK Aluminij | 80c | 25.21$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.04 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e05…2ebcbacked NK Aluminij | 59c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.25 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9565…ec9abacked NK Aluminij | 79c | 14.47$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.04 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: FC Sheriff Tiraspol (-1.5)this page
- FC Sheriff Tiraspol vs. NK Aluminij: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- FC Sheriff Tiraspol vs. NK Aluminij: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- FC Sheriff Tiraspol vs. NK Aluminij: FC Sheriff Tiraspol O/U 0.5Under won
- FC Sheriff Tiraspol vs. NK Aluminij: FC Sheriff Tiraspol O/U 1.5Under won
- FC Sheriff Tiraspol vs. NK Aluminij: O/U 0.5Under won
- FC Sheriff Tiraspol vs. NK Aluminij: O/U 1.5Under won
- FC Sheriff Tiraspol vs. NK Aluminij: O/U 2.5Under won
- FC Sheriff Tiraspol vs. NK Aluminij: O/U 3.5Under won
- FC Sheriff Tiraspol vs. NK Aluminij: O/U 4.5Under won
- FC Sheriff Tiraspol vs. NK Aluminij: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: FC Sheriff Tiraspol (-2.5)NK Aluminij won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.