Europa Conference League · resolved market
FC Sheriff Tiraspol vs. NK Aluminij: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa7a6e859b4058cd307c495e7028e46300591885db4821d7468161b508231b6c2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,709
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,781
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,709 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x54ea…f74abacked Yes | 41c | 1,800$738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$738 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No | 66c | 1,530$1,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.19 | 384 | 53.1%204 W · 180 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 34c | 1,381$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.25 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 60c | 651.8$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.19 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x789f…3e7dbacked No | 59c | 500$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 66c | 309$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.06 | 638 | 57.2%365 W · 273 L | +35.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 39c | 292.56$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.47 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdec4…046fbacked Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 18cpaid | -78.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 58c | 238.83$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.64 | 778 | 55%428 W · 350 L | +23.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed No | 67c | 152.24$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.5 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 61c | 122.78$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.37 | 120 | 57.5%69 W · 51 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 40c | 108.08$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.23 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf04…90b5backed Yes | 41c | 85.37$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 57c | 66$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.05 | 793 | 54.2%430 W · 363 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed No | 66c | 61$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.74 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cec…4043backed No | 60c | 58.33$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.33 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed No | 60c | 47.1$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.02 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 43c | 40.14$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.18 | 1,114 | 35.8%399 W · 715 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Yes | 41c | 33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.53 | 324 | 36.4%118 W · 206 L | -20.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…8689backed No | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc593…ea8cbacked No | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -26%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f78…3546backed Yes | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed No | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 60c | 29.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.15 | 476 | 49.4%235 W · 241 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60b1…8e7dbacked No | 59c | 27.39$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.23 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed No | 67c | 27.06$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.93 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a6b…709dbacked No | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 61c | 23.16$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.12 | 973 | 46%448 W · 525 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed No | 60c | 21.13$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.48 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbd…d0dfbacked No | 66c | 19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.46 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked No | 66c | 15.44$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -3.9wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Sheriff Tiraspol vs. NK Aluminij: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- FC Sheriff Tiraspol vs. NK Aluminij: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- FC Sheriff Tiraspol vs. NK Aluminij: FC Sheriff Tiraspol O/U 0.5Under won
- FC Sheriff Tiraspol vs. NK Aluminij: FC Sheriff Tiraspol O/U 1.5Under won
- FC Sheriff Tiraspol vs. NK Aluminij: O/U 0.5Under won
- FC Sheriff Tiraspol vs. NK Aluminij: O/U 1.5Under won
- FC Sheriff Tiraspol vs. NK Aluminij: O/U 2.5Under won
- FC Sheriff Tiraspol vs. NK Aluminij: O/U 3.5Under won
- FC Sheriff Tiraspol vs. NK Aluminij: O/U 4.5Under won
- FC Sheriff Tiraspol vs. NK Aluminij: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: FC Sheriff Tiraspol (-1.5)NK Aluminij won
- Spread: FC Sheriff Tiraspol (-2.5)NK Aluminij won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.