Tennis · resolved market
Austin: Kimberly Birrell vs Ella Seidel
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7024d9551a5a4addeeb771fef32aeee658606f28bf04fb447085b0a688102935
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kimberly Birrellof Kimberly Birrell, Ella Seidel
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,435
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,435 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Ella Seidel | 35c | 1,773$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627.95 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Kimberly Birrell | 62c | 1,110$693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.62 | 6,652 | 50.7%3,373 W · 3,279 L | +263.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Ella Seidel | 5c | 888.62$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.49 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4042…0bdabacked Ella Seidel | 27c | 870.37$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 991 | 39.9%395 W · 596 L | -9.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Kimberly Birrell | 60c | 831.65$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.41 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Kimberly Birrell | 70c | 726.6$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.32 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b14…4e3bbacked Ella Seidel | 14c | 520.14$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.82 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Ella Seidel | 47c | 427$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,853 | 48.4%897 W · 956 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Ella Seidel | 36c | 315$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.4 | 1,414 | 41.1%581 W · 833 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f07…9d0fbacked Kimberly Birrell | 67c | 300$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 707 | 52.8%373 W · 334 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae5…f4cabacked Ella Seidel | 17c | 258.82$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 58 | 24.1%14 W · 44 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Ella Seidel | 48c | 247.51$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.63 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Kimberly Birrell | 63c | 237.5$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.08 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Ella Seidel | 17c | 220$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.4 | 496 | 32.3%160 W · 336 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Kimberly Birrell | 62c | 191.32$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.03 | 381 | 47%179 W · 202 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Ella Seidel | 41c | 185.08$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.02 | 9,374 | 44.3%4,154 W · 5,220 L | -244.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Ella Seidel | 39c | 168.01$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.28 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5af…f9e3backed Ella Seidel | 19c | 166.32$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.6 | 302 | 25.8%78 W · 224 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb69…c3e5backed Kimberly Birrell | 64c | 150$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 1,076 | 55.5%597 W · 479 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Kimberly Birrell | 63c | 140.27$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.28 | 537 | 52.3%281 W · 256 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Ella Seidel | 16c | 135$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.33 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Ella Seidel | 36c | 128.33$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.77 | 289 | 33.2%96 W · 193 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Kimberly Birrell | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 779 | 67.8%528 W · 251 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Ella Seidel | 28c | 93.45$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.36 | 7,968 | 50.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L | +92.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Kimberly Birrell | 64c | 91$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.76 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Kimberly Birrell | 64c | 78$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.08 | 600 | 55.7%334 W · 266 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Ella Seidel | 36c | 78$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.08 | 2,043 | 47.8%977 W · 1,066 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Ella Seidel | 33c | 62.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.79 | 6,840 | 48.8%3,341 W · 3,499 L | +58.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3578…f163backed Kimberly Birrell | 66c | 60.38$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.53 | 398 | 72.4%288 W · 110 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Kimberly Birrell | 77c | 60$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 970 | 46.6%452 W · 518 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Ella Seidel | 41c | 52.37$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.47 | 363 | 33.9%123 W · 240 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7789…d6c0backed Kimberly Birrell | 56c | 49.99$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.99 | 94 | 55.3%52 W · 42 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Ella Seidel | 35c | 49.98$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.49 | 1,832 | 53%971 W · 861 L | -45.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed Kimberly Birrell | 78c | 47$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.27 | 373 | 42.6%159 W · 214 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ca6…3841backed Ella Seidel | 38c | 46.61$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.49 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Ella Seidel | 33c | 44.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.68 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Ella Seidel | 38c | 43.94$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.71 | 275 | 46.5%128 W · 147 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4820…bc0fbacked Kimberly Birrell | 61c | 26.68$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.47 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Ella Seidel | 38c | 26.57$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Ella Seidel | 39c | 25.98$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Austin: Kimberly Birrell vs Ella Seidelthis page
- Set 1 Winner: Birrell vs SeidelBirrell won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.