Tennis · resolved market
Brasilia: Juan Carlos Prado vs Guy Den Ouden
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x703a9a63020d8eac6211ab0b2c3c3fdbe15b6950a8c4160690a63a180dbbfd72
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Juan Carlos Pradoof Juan Carlos Prado, Guy Den Ouden
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,110
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,672
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,110 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Juan Carlos Prado | 60c | 5,653$3,383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,269.89 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41e1…f9a8backed Guy Den Ouden | 43c | 4,287$1,843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,843.45 | 97 | 44.3%43 W · 54 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Guy Den Ouden | 35c | 2,857$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1,130 | 27.9%315 W · 815 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Guy Den Ouden | 66c | 1,991$1,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,315.18 | 1,980 | 46.2%915 W · 1,065 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Juan Carlos Prado | 71c | 1,986$1,413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.23 | 6,652 | 50.7%3,373 W · 3,279 L | +263.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Guy Den Ouden | 34c | 1,773$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602.77 | 6,512 | 54.5%3,546 W · 2,966 L | +289.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Guy Den Ouden | 26c | 1,464$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.6 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Juan Carlos Prado | 34c | 1,250$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$826.31 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Guy Den Ouden | 41c | 773.82$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.41 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Juan Carlos Prado | 34c | 714.73$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.72 | 317 | 53.6%170 W · 147 L | +17.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fef…5946backed Juan Carlos Prado | 62c | 643.98$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.98 | 97 | 61.9%60 W · 37 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Guy Den Ouden | 5c | 576.21$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.41 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Guy Den Ouden | 28c | 530.72$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.96 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Guy Den Ouden | 31c | 497.81$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.05 | 7,968 | 50.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L | +92.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Juan Carlos Prado | 34c | 348.48$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 305 | 30.8%94 W · 211 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5e…61b4backed Guy Den Ouden | 66c | 348.48$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 375 | 44.3%166 W · 209 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Guy Den Ouden | 35c | 247.08$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.71 | 6,840 | 48.8%3,341 W · 3,499 L | +58.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa60…9b86backed Guy Den Ouden | 66c | 152.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 42 | 76.2%32 W · 10 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 69cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0619…eb77backed Juan Carlos Prado | 36c | 150$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff44…eb44backed Guy Den Ouden | 64c | 150$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1248…8db1backed Juan Carlos Prado | 37c | 140$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.2 | 255 | 46.3%118 W · 137 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Juan Carlos Prado | 36c | 138.88$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.88 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd88a…1eefbacked Juan Carlos Prado | 33c | 132.24$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.22 | 544 | 34.2%186 W · 358 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Guy Den Ouden | 64c | 129.46$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.85 | 1,588 | 47%746 W · 842 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Guy Den Ouden | 70c | 120$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 2,776 | 53.7%1,491 W · 1,285 L | +69.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Guy Den Ouden | 80c | 112$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.11 | 970 | 46.6%452 W · 518 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Guy Den Ouden | 42c | 106.34$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.15 | 619 | 53.3%330 W · 289 L | +18.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Guy Den Ouden | 77c | 103$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.85 | 1,008 | 46%464 W · 544 L | -19.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Guy Den Ouden | 70c | 100$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 779 | 67.8%528 W · 251 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfee1…a1f5backed Juan Carlos Prado | 37c | 100$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a69…b9ddbacked Guy Den Ouden | 64c | 100$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b14…d23dbacked Guy Den Ouden | 64c | 100$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f8…f2acbacked Juan Carlos Prado | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +217.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x78f6…ba6bbacked Guy Den Ouden | 64c | 100$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc565…25fbbacked Guy Den Ouden | 63c | 100$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d79…13fdbacked Guy Den Ouden | 64c | 100$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94bd…fde5backed Juan Carlos Prado | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b19…e4f0backed Juan Carlos Prado | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +217.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfad2…6fcebacked Juan Carlos Prado | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Guy Den Ouden | 39c | 86.67$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.15 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Guy Den Ouden | 26c | 79.04$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.51 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Guy Den Ouden | 68c | 76$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.39 | 1,832 | 53%971 W · 861 L | -45.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe496…4d8bbacked Juan Carlos Prado | 32c | 74.54$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.41 | 182 | 33.5%61 W · 121 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9271…a28abacked Juan Carlos Prado | 34c | 58.59$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.64 | 556 | 41.2%229 W · 327 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x473b…a5a0backed Guy Den Ouden | 64c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x456b…a6e2backed Juan Carlos Prado | 36c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Guy Den Ouden | 52c | 48.28$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 572 | 52.3%299 W · 273 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31e5…e2a2backed Guy Den Ouden | 62c | 39.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 197 | 62.9%124 W · 73 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Juan Carlos Prado | 36c | 39.8$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.51 | 1,245 | 33.9%422 W · 823 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53c5…cb95backed Juan Carlos Prado | 73c | 39.1$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 242 | 44.6%108 W · 134 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5271…0f95backed Juan Carlos Prado | 37c | 38$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.94 | 108 | 35.2%38 W · 70 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe795…d019backed Juan Carlos Prado | 63c | 35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.95 | 88 | 50%44 W · 44 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf15b…6cd6backed Juan Carlos Prado | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1963…8122backed Guy Den Ouden | 40c | 25.2$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Juan Carlos Prado | 62c | 24.03$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 430 | 58.6%252 W · 178 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.