Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Rutgers Scarlet Knights (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x70484daa7cad6b6e92f093f9246c55247494c6c1dadd39913e7bd4d83dec3bd0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rutgers Scarlet Knightsof Rutgers Scarlet Knights, Maryland Terrapins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,240
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,363
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,240 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Maryland Terrapins | 51c | 7,500$3,825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,825 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 49c | 6,112$2,995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,117.32 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Maryland Terrapins | 52c | 6,009$3,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,124.84 | 740 | 51.5%381 W · 359 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ec1…057cbacked Maryland Terrapins | 51c | 4,344$2,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,215.51 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 48c | 3,935$1,889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,046.32 | 277 | 55.2%153 W · 124 L | +19.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 47c | 3,000$1,422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,577.49 | 616 | 52.8%325 W · 291 L | +21.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Maryland Terrapins | 51c | 2,854$1,456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,455.83 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 48c | 1,830$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$950.22 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x198c…6a94backed Maryland Terrapins | 54c | 1,739$934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$934.25 | 188 | 46.8%88 W · 100 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 49c | 1,651$809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$842.01 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 48c | 1,196$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621.92 | 898 | 50%449 W · 449 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 48c | 1,072$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.38 | 262 | 54.2%142 W · 120 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa632…4c96backed Maryland Terrapins | 52c | 480.77$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 564 | 44.1%249 W · 315 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb98e…8823backed Maryland Terrapins | 55c | 400.11$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 144 | 47.2%68 W · 76 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 70c | 263.99$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.06 | 441 | 46.5%205 W · 236 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a97…c1f9backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 48c | 233.21$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.66 | 219 | 55.3%121 W · 98 L | +13.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x459f…c1f5backed Maryland Terrapins | 56c | 232$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.92 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1eee…9b2bbacked Maryland Terrapins | 52c | 220$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.4 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Maryland Terrapins | 28c | 199.99$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 429 | 34.3%147 W · 282 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Maryland Terrapins | 53c | 185.18$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.2 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 47c | 178.87$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.8 | 307 | 46.3%142 W · 165 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabde…d41fbacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 50c | 122.24$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.12 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…6be6backed Maryland Terrapins | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 145 | 46.9%68 W · 77 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 92 | 58.7%54 W · 38 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c72…78edbacked Maryland Terrapins | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -3.8wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x16da…5d06backed Maryland Terrapins | 52c | 90$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57ad…6f3dbacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 48c | 90$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdab9…cdfcbacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4387…2b3dbacked Maryland Terrapins | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82c8…73d1backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 49c | 45.94$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.43 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +90.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 48c | 43.08$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 202 | 48%97 W · 105 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd286…4c1bbacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 49c | 37.32$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 135 | 61.5%83 W · 52 L | +13.7wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x471b…0f1abacked Maryland Terrapins | 52c | 32.38$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.89 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x13f3…12ffbacked Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 49c | 24.49$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.49 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 49c | 22.69$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.57 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Maryland Terrapins | 50c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 233 | 63.9%149 W · 84 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5de…a312backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 50c | 20.86$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.43 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.21per pick | 57cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Maryland Terrapins | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ee…0bb0backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Rutgers Scarlet Knights (-2.5)this page
- Maryland Terrapins vs. Rutgers Scarlet KnightsRutgers Scarlet Knights won
- Maryland Terrapins vs. Rutgers Scarlet Knights: O/U 143.5Under won
- Maryland Terrapins vs. Rutgers Scarlet Knights: O/U 144.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.