Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Maryland Terrapins vs. Rutgers Scarlet Knights: O/U 144.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc388564e1cff683a05e4d17610b985f1c94b2bf97a4757389d5e47dcb2836ff6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $66,702
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $67,143
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,702 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5c2b…2575backed Under | 52c | 41,467$21,405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,061.43 | 609 | 49.8%303 W · 306 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe248…f293backed Over | 48c | 30,000$14,548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,547.86 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +38.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Under | 54c | 7,404$4,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,375.5 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe584…e6e2backed Under | 56c | 5,921$3,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,605.14 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Over | 47c | 5,250$2,468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,467.5 | 898 | 50%449 W · 449 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Over | 44c | 4,831$2,126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,125.6 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62ba…ef56backed Over | 45c | 3,985$1,793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,793.25 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 46c | 3,577$1,644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,644.2 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 45c | 2,500$1,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,125 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 47c | 2,126$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008.06 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Under | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 422 | 46.2%195 W · 227 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Over | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 141 | 50.4%71 W · 70 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x129d…3bcabacked Over | 49c | 1,477$724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$723.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed Over | 49c | 1,244$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.79 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -6.6wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Under | 55c | 800$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 557 | 49.2%274 W · 283 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…6f9abacked Under | 52c | 750$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68a9…e73abacked Over | 46c | 652$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.92 | 267 | 49.1%131 W · 136 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Over | 47c | 637.85$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.79 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Over | 44c | 500$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa632…4c96backed Under | 55c | 454.55$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.55 | 564 | 44.1%249 W · 315 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Over | 48c | 450.04$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.17 | 693 | 50.4%349 W · 344 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b1a…68d8backed Under | 54c | 399.99$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184 | 119 | 57.1%68 W · 51 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Under | 55c | 358.1$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.15 | 746 | 49.2%367 W · 379 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c94…a43bbacked Over | 49c | 301.49$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.73 | 112 | 44.6%50 W · 62 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 49c | 273$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.77 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…c650backed Under | 53c | 235.85$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.85 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -6.9wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Over | 45c | 125$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.25 | 918 | 48.9%449 W · 469 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa770…cb1ebacked Over | 52c | 106$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52ff…d52dbacked Under | 49c | 106$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd63…7b8ebacked Under | 49c | 105$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8f2…22f0backed Over | 51c | 105$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…3e29backed Over | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 283 | 54.1%153 W · 130 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d94…e7f7backed Under | 54c | 92.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.65 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 48c | 76.73$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.83 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82c8…73d1backed Over | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +90.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d72…c356backed Over | 45c | 60$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 194 | 45.9%89 W · 105 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9e…a8a9backed Over | 48c | 51.02$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.49 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x78d2…7a2bbacked Over | 46c | 48.48$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.25 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | +6.3wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ee…0bb0backed Over | 46c | 43.49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe1aa…071abacked Under | 53c | 37.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.52 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 48c | 36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 505 | 48.9%247 W · 258 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a97…c1f9backed Under | 56c | 30.54$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 219 | 55.3%121 W · 98 L | +13.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e4a…7045backed Under | 55c | 29$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.02 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +5.5wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 57c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.75 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…5ebbbacked Over | 48c | 21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -5.1wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Maryland Terrapins vs. Rutgers Scarlet Knights: O/U 144.5this page
- Maryland Terrapins vs. Rutgers Scarlet KnightsRutgers Scarlet Knights won
- Maryland Terrapins vs. Rutgers Scarlet Knights: O/U 143.5Under won
- Spread: Rutgers Scarlet Knights (-2.5)Rutgers Scarlet Knights won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.