Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: 555 vs Oasis Gaming (BO3) - VCL Southeast Asia: Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x70814793f96f98369301de5bda5072748303dc8005066c92f2d79a66ab48d56d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 555of 555, Oasis Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,354
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,354 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee8e…0a7bbacked 555 | 65c | 823.06$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.42 | 781 | 62%484 W · 297 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133d…a257backed Oasis Gaming | 37c | 785.1$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff48…15fdbacked Oasis Gaming | 37c | 770$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…89e7backed Oasis Gaming | 37c | 750$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8496…b5f3backed Oasis Gaming | 37c | 670$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b27…f45cbacked Oasis Gaming | 37c | 546$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Oasis Gaming | 34c | 499.95$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.98 | 610 | 35.9%219 W · 391 L | -17.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad6…df20backed 555 | 63c | 470$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked 555 | 64c | 465.66$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.24 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21fb…fd64backed 555 | 66c | 456.8$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.8 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x270c…ac6abacked 555 | 63c | 450$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0502…42f1backed 555 | 63c | 400$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e2…07f7backed 555 | 63c | 350$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a95…fee1backed 555 | 63c | 340$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa74d…c7c4backed 555 | 63c | 330$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61a3…e913backed 555 | 63c | 330$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Oasis Gaming | 36c | 303.54$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.13 | 275 | 46.2%127 W · 148 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbba3…c6e0backed 555 | 63c | 300$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x175e…8525backed 555 | 63c | 300$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f6d…71b4backed Oasis Gaming | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a78…0948backed 555 | 63c | 246$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Oasis Gaming | 36c | 201.73$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.85 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Oasis Gaming | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 312 | 32.7%102 W · 210 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed 555 | 50c | 199$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.32 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6df…1cf4backed Oasis Gaming | 49c | 154$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c38…13b1backed Oasis Gaming | 34c | 116.76$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe24f…d68abacked 555 | 65c | 101.42$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.42 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Oasis Gaming | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 140 | 37.9%53 W · 87 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Oasis Gaming | 35c | 95.49$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.42 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -19%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71f2…ee56backed Oasis Gaming | 49c | 88.44$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.47 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +17%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Oasis Gaming | 36c | 80$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 544 | 39.9%217 W · 327 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd5…11bbbacked 555 | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Oasis Gaming | 35c | 63.96$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.33 | 348 | 47.4%165 W · 183 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…6eacbacked 555 | 50c | 54.01$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +6.4wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +36%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddc…9c0fbacked Oasis Gaming | 35c | 53.04$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.56 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed 555 | 65c | 49.99$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.67 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed 555 | 65c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 636 | 52.7%335 W · 301 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked Oasis Gaming | 36c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 199 | 43.7%87 W · 112 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0caa…b2bdbacked Oasis Gaming | 35c | 39.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 149 | 59.7%89 W · 60 L | +11.1wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x717b…7c36backed Oasis Gaming | 38c | 37.24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe16e…7006backed 555 | 64c | 36.52$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.15 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcda8…e2ffbacked 555 | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5747…7fdfbacked 555 | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 630 | 56.3%355 W · 275 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.