Tennis · resolved market
Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Carolyn Ansari vs Rebecca Sramkova
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x70932d6ea583a23c5e22beb6faf72f092108c1521815c85cbf733285a5f53836
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rebecca Sramkovaof Carolyn Ansari, Rebecca Sramkova
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,459
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,573
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,459 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1b8f…cca7backed Carolyn Ansari | 15c | 6,400$984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$984 | 377 | 38.2%144 W · 233 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed Carolyn Ansari | 5c | 3,560$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178 | 973 | 7.9%77 W · 896 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d4…8b32backed Carolyn Ansari | 1c | 2,572$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.43 | 1,206 | 8%96 W · 1,110 L | +17.2wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e5e…7315backed Carolyn Ansari | 14c | 1,600$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d74…f2abbacked Carolyn Ansari | 22c | 1,077$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.56 | 433 | 34.9%151 W · 282 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Carolyn Ansari | 19c | 850.38$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.62 | 179 | 31.8%57 W · 122 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Carolyn Ansari | 11c | 829$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.19 | 2,061 | 48.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L | +35.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Carolyn Ansari | 10c | 553.07$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.26 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57cc…0fa7backed Carolyn Ansari | 20c | 286$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.2 | 185 | 42.7%79 W · 106 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed Rebecca Sramkova | 80c | 212$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.4 | 967 | 55.3%535 W · 432 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23f0…71c0backed Carolyn Ansari | 22c | 208.14$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.79 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 41cpaid | -81.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Carolyn Ansari | 10c | 138.56$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x162d…8944backed Carolyn Ansari | 9c | 122.22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 131 | 34.4%45 W · 86 L | +13.5wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb9…2e4cbacked Rebecca Sramkova | 78c | 112.82$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.82 | 102 | 66.7%68 W · 34 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a1…ceb5backed Carolyn Ansari | 20c | 110$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 82 | 34.1%28 W · 54 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Carolyn Ansari | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6feb…c082backed Carolyn Ansari | 20c | 78.7$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.74 | 306 | 44.1%135 W · 171 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe84e…b520backed Carolyn Ansari | 30c | 65.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7629…226cbacked Rebecca Sramkova | 80c | 62.52$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 235 | 81.7%192 W · 43 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 80cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1967…30b5backed Carolyn Ansari | 20c | 62.52$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 165 | 51.5%85 W · 80 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c55…3408backed Rebecca Sramkova | 80c | 40.06$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.06 | 91 | 62.6%57 W · 34 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 69cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe01…b45dbacked Rebecca Sramkova | 80c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 223 | 77.6%173 W · 50 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 77cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Rebecca Sramkova | 77c | 35.84$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.24 | 1,021 | 57.8%590 W · 431 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Rebecca Sramkova | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 678 | 48.4%328 W · 350 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff7b…b79fbacked Rebecca Sramkova | 79c | 19.49$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.09 | 98 | 67.3%66 W · 32 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.