Tennis · resolved market
ITF Astana: Edda Mamedova vs Maria Sholokhova
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x70cbfa383829a1a8152135d44fec9bfd8b9dfc856a77648912a6a811af90ad5f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Edda Mamedovaof Edda Mamedova, Maria Sholokhova
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,477
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,726
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,477 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa9bc…d6d1backed Maria Sholokhova | 3c | 6,667$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 6cpaid | +203%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3a…eb9abacked Maria Sholokhova | 64c | 3,718$2,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,369.53 | 254 | 53.1%135 W · 119 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Edda Mamedova | 36c | 2,154$775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,378.48 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca97…49f6backed Edda Mamedova | 40c | 1,493$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$892.94 | 104 | 48.1%50 W · 54 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Maria Sholokhova | 18c | 799.99$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142 | 118 | 26.3%31 W · 87 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Edda Mamedova | 36c | 785.31$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.95 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Edda Mamedova | 57c | 713.14$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.12 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Edda Mamedova | 79c | 684.77$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Maria Sholokhova | 43c | 543.48$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.56 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8fe…359dbacked Maria Sholokhova | 14c | 526.54$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.79 | 106 | 32.1%34 W · 72 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3db7…375cbacked Maria Sholokhova | 8c | 477.09$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.17 | 159 | 31.4%50 W · 109 L | +15.3wins | +0.10per pick | 22cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x02f0…9bb3backed Maria Sholokhova | 3c | 399.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 171 | 36.3%62 W · 109 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Maria Sholokhova | 61c | 351.54$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.19 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa212…9161backed Maria Sholokhova | 41c | 299.99$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 141 | 42.6%60 W · 81 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f7…c7a2backed Edda Mamedova | 36c | 194.44$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.44 | 282 | 55%155 W · 127 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Edda Mamedova | 38c | 189.33$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 323 | 29.7%96 W · 227 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3016…9ffdbacked Maria Sholokhova | 12c | 180.64$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.83 | 66 | 21.2%14 W · 52 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked Edda Mamedova | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.89 | 960 | 49.5%475 W · 485 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…5e63backed Maria Sholokhova | 8c | 136.54$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 46 | 15.2%7 W · 39 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e8…c60ebacked Edda Mamedova | 80c | 128.4$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.68 | 374 | 60.4%226 W · 148 L | +29.1wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +14%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ea…2f71backed Edda Mamedova | 73c | 125.6$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.4 | 447 | 58.8%263 W · 184 L | +24.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Maria Sholokhova | 22c | 92.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 601 | 41.1%247 W · 354 L | -11.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4abd…5a5cbacked Edda Mamedova | 80c | 82.8$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.56 | 391 | 59.1%231 W · 160 L | +28.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Edda Mamedova | 38c | 67.51$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.13 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2326…b627backed Edda Mamedova | 64c | 66.84$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.06 | 1,256 | 65.4%821 W · 435 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0977…53ccbacked Maria Sholokhova | 62c | 56.82$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.33 | 225 | 47.1%106 W · 119 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked Edda Mamedova | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 414 | 40.3%167 W · 247 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97a7…ac24backed Edda Mamedova | 41c | 39.49$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.3 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb0…15a6backed Maria Sholokhova | 54c | 38.28$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.82 | 70 | 12.9%9 W · 61 L | -21.0wins | -0.30per pick | 43cpaid | -69.9%equal weight | 25-0.22 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Maria Sholokhova | 62c | 36.96$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.88 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…d305backed Maria Sholokhova | 62c | 30.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.86 | 142 | 45.1%64 W · 78 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Edda Mamedova | 62c | 23.13$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.89 | 705 | 37.6%265 W · 440 L | -37.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Maria Sholokhova | 61c | 18.93$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.63 | 1,710 | 53.7%918 W · 792 L | +30.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b9…40a9backed Maria Sholokhova | 62c | 18.55$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.27per pick | 65cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.