Premier League · resolved market
FA Cup: Everton vs. AFC Bournemouth (To Advance)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x70f70f9e842f74a7f1c2826ddaed731ed29f4be28a4d62f40030c4056c3e51d1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bournemouthof Everton, Bournemouth
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,619
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,793
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,619 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Everton | 50c | 16,000$8,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,060 | 320 | 37.2%119 W · 201 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Bournemouth | 50c | 11,875$5,918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,957.59 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Bournemouth | 51c | 3,016$1,543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,472.95 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0b…eb6dbacked Everton | 4c | 2,205$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.03 | 92 | 41.3%38 W · 54 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Bournemouth | 55c | 1,520$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.6 | 211 | 53.1%112 W · 99 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Bournemouth | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 346 | 43.9%152 W · 194 L | -14.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Bournemouth | 54c | 899.94$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.97 | 290 | 44.8%130 W · 160 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf00f…711abacked Everton | 48c | 572.63$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.23 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x519f…2af7backed Everton | 42c | 476.19$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20da…e704backed Everton | 10c | 250$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 91 | 11%10 W · 81 L | -7.4wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -46%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Bournemouth | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 296 | 53%157 W · 139 L | -23.0wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Bournemouth | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 427 | 55%235 W · 192 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5502…207ebacked Bournemouth | 76c | 150.2$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.05 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2453…28e2backed Bournemouth | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 256 | 37.9%97 W · 159 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7425…4028backed Bournemouth | 55c | 74.99$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.75 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +4.3wins | +0.22per pick | 35cpaid | +91.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0ced…9defbacked Everton | 40c | 69$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73eb…606bbacked Bournemouth | 60c | 69$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3975…626abacked Bournemouth | 48c | 62.44$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.57 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a06…d20ebacked Bournemouth | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -9.4wins | -0.17per pick | 59cpaid | -31%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb701…7cf6backed Bournemouth | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 229 | 32.3%74 W · 155 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Bournemouth | 50c | 44.61$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.31 | 655 | 57.7%378 W · 277 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf01d…4864backed Everton | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -4.9wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -21%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7712…c40cbacked Bournemouth | 60c | 39$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d49…5798backed Everton | 40c | 39$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd2…8759backed Bournemouth | 51c | 38.19$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa85f…7b21backed Everton | 40c | 36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73a9…0d8fbacked Bournemouth | 60c | 36$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27b0…8404backed Bournemouth | 60c | 33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 67cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb560…535bbacked Everton | 40c | 33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf04f…a8c4backed Everton | 49c | 27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Bournemouth | 57c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.75 | 327 | 37.6%123 W · 204 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.