Tennis · resolved market
Saint-Malo: Julie Belgraver vs Anna Blinkova
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7101a33dcf99a2e333aeb023451ccaa09a1bfc2356962aec63dc501522f39285
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Anna Blinkovaof Julie Belgraver, Anna Blinkova
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $58,887
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $66,375
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,887 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Julie Belgraver | 16c | 14,084$2,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,186.02 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Anna Blinkova | 65c | 10,875$7,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,832.29 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Julie Belgraver | 36c | 6,330$2,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,285.22 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Julie Belgraver | 33c | 5,294$1,757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,756.7 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a47…235bbacked Julie Belgraver | 6c | 3,333$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 204 | 12.7%26 W · 178 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3df…82fabacked Anna Blinkova | 79c | 2,711$2,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.32 | 278 | 46%128 W · 150 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Anna Blinkova | 65c | 1,990$1,293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$696.42 | 543 | 45.3%246 W · 297 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Julie Belgraver | 3c | 582.43$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.58 | 261 | 31.4%82 W · 179 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x012d…9db6backed Anna Blinkova | 66c | 277.11$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.23 | 849 | 68.4%581 W · 268 L | +25.9wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8668…7f8fbacked Anna Blinkova | 67c | 276.12$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.12 | 75 | 60%45 W · 30 L | +6.8wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d5…56dcbacked Anna Blinkova | 72c | 251.69$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.69 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Julie Belgraver | 32c | 250$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1,428 | 48.2%689 W · 739 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…db5bbacked Julie Belgraver | 9c | 244.46$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | -5.1wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Julie Belgraver | 22c | 240.4$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.77 | 2,229 | 45%1,002 W · 1,227 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb69…c3e5backed Anna Blinkova | 78c | 197.36$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.42 | 1,076 | 55.5%597 W · 479 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Julie Belgraver | 26c | 129$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.55 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f01…0d90backed Anna Blinkova | 77c | 121.73$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 144 | 43.1%62 W · 82 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Julie Belgraver | 23c | 118.37$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 423 | 44.2%187 W · 236 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f57…2282backed Anna Blinkova | 68c | 102.94$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.94 | 362 | 64.6%234 W · 128 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Julie Belgraver | 25c | 85.87$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.33 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84c7…bea7backed Anna Blinkova | 78c | 76$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.72 | 664 | 52.3%347 W · 317 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36a3…2e00backed Julie Belgraver | 20c | 75.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 66 | 31.8%21 W · 45 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Anna Blinkova | 73c | 74.57$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.88 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x877c…e669backed Anna Blinkova | 78c | 59.21$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.03 | 229 | 63.3%145 W · 84 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Julie Belgraver | 22c | 58.96$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.97 | 977 | 45.2%442 W · 535 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Julie Belgraver | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe25c…ae63backed Anna Blinkova | 77c | 44.43$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.22 | 527 | 50.3%265 W · 262 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e05…00bebacked Anna Blinkova | 62c | 42.1$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5428…e46abacked Anna Blinkova | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 100 | 70%70 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc75f…d7f6backed Anna Blinkova | 78c | 40.48$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.91 | 207 | 64.7%134 W · 73 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3a8…cbeabacked Anna Blinkova | 78c | 39.37$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.66 | 82 | 63.4%52 W · 30 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95ac…d636backed Anna Blinkova | 65c | 30.08$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.58 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7187…535abacked Anna Blinkova | 70c | 22.54$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.76 | 82 | 69.5%57 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ea…42e8backed Anna Blinkova | 78c | 17.76$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.91 | 898 | 59.7%536 W · 362 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7353…a4f0backed Anna Blinkova | 77c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.45 | 540 | 50.4%272 W · 268 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed Anna Blinkova | 78c | 13.91$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.06 | 315 | 63.5%200 W · 115 L | +21.5wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.