Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Monmouth Hawks (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7178786ad56cbba769ef2160d5e70a3c054c6fcd35196188b61aa1e854970215
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Monmouth Hawksof Monmouth Hawks, Campbell Fighting Camels
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,615
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,615 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Monmouth Hawks | 51c | 2,891$1,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,411.61 | 279 | 47.3%132 W · 147 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Monmouth Hawks | 49c | 2,200$1,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,122 | 616 | 52.8%325 W · 291 L | +21.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Campbell Fighting Camels | 49c | 2,054$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.51 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Monmouth Hawks | 51c | 2,024$1,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000.41 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Campbell Fighting Camels | 50c | 1,830$915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$914.88 | 488 | 55.1%269 W · 219 L | +17.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Campbell Fighting Camels | 49c | 956.05$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.53 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e7…884cbacked Monmouth Hawks | 50c | 439.9$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.07 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +4.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Campbell Fighting Camels | 47c | 215$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.05 | 574 | 48.3%277 W · 297 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87b8…29dcbacked Campbell Fighting Camels | 48c | 208.17$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.92 | 121 | 47.9%58 W · 63 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe33f…e413backed Monmouth Hawks | 50c | 185.36$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.71 | 372 | 46.2%172 W · 200 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Campbell Fighting Camels | 52c | 152.5$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.3 | 308 | 53.2%164 W · 144 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb146…e717backed Monmouth Hawks | 58c | 129.08$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.73 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Campbell Fighting Camels | 48c | 122.4$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.75 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Monmouth Hawks | 53c | 118.95$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.91 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38ef…8800backed Monmouth Hawks | 49c | 100.41$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.21 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +4.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x72a1…1950backed Monmouth Hawks | 50c | 99.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.56 | 338 | 55%186 W · 152 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x363d…fe75backed Monmouth Hawks | 50c | 79.3$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.65 | 122 | 45.1%55 W · 67 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Campbell Fighting Camels | 48c | 72.28$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.69 | 175 | 51.4%90 W · 85 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Campbell Fighting Camels | 49c | 68.79$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.71 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Campbell Fighting Camels | 49c | 66.25$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.46 | 220 | 47.7%105 W · 115 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Monmouth Hawks | 51c | 63.48$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.11 | 828 | 46.1%382 W · 446 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…26b7backed Campbell Fighting Camels | 48c | 58.48$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.07 | 258 | 37.6%97 W · 161 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Campbell Fighting Camels | 50c | 56$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 92 | 58.7%54 W · 38 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6912…2aabbacked Monmouth Hawks | 53c | 52.37$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.61 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Campbell Fighting Camels | 50c | 39.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 248 | 57.3%142 W · 106 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Campbell Fighting Camels | 49c | 39$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.11 | 576 | 55%317 W · 259 L | +17.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Monmouth Hawks | 51c | 33.98$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.78 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…af56backed Campbell Fighting Camels | 48c | 33.04$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.86 | 184 | 39.1%72 W · 112 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Campbell Fighting Camels | 47c | 26.83$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.61 | 276 | 50.7%140 W · 136 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Campbell Fighting Camels | 49c | 23.66$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.56 | 296 | 50.7%150 W · 146 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Monmouth Hawks | 52c | 19.46$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.34 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Monmouth Hawks (-1.5)this page
- Campbell Fighting Camels vs. Monmouth HawksMonmouth Hawks won
- Campbell Fighting Camels vs. Monmouth Hawks: O/U 151.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.