Tennis · resolved market
ITF Milano: Luca Parenti vs Lorenzo Berto
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x718534e49e304bebf34b41cbac279f034820e302971f2ff115e46db48ac478e2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lorenzo Bertoof Luca Parenti, Lorenzo Berto
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,351
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,599
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,351 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0284…97f6backed Lorenzo Berto | 70c | 729.15$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.95 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Luca Parenti | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Lorenzo Berto | 51c | 446.78$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.76 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Luca Parenti | 45c | 312$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.19 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Lorenzo Berto | 54c | 296.08$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.54 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Luca Parenti | 47c | 286.58$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.39 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Lorenzo Berto | 55c | 233.25$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.79 | 580 | 48.4%281 W · 299 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6844…7633backed Luca Parenti | 36c | 212.58$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.53 | 105 | 40%42 W · 63 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Lorenzo Berto | 54c | 178.07$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.16 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Luca Parenti | 30c | 133.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Luca Parenti | 46c | 123.65$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.64 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Luca Parenti | 35c | 85.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.18 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Luca Parenti | 45c | 83.84$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.06 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Luca Parenti | 29c | 79.15$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.95 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Lorenzo Berto | 55c | 77$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.78 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Luca Parenti | 45c | 76.23$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.16 | 753 | 50.5%380 W · 373 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Luca Parenti | 45c | 67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.14 | 727 | 55.6%404 W · 323 L | +27.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Lorenzo Berto | 45c | 53.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.43 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59a9…41d1backed Luca Parenti | 65c | 53.55$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 93 | 66.7%62 W · 31 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Lorenzo Berto | 54c | 44.24$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.34 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8a…a117backed Luca Parenti | 46c | 38.07$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.41 | 96 | 57.3%55 W · 41 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a9…3579backed Luca Parenti | 53c | 37.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.77 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Luca Parenti | 50c | 32.73$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.52 | 435 | 52.9%230 W · 205 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Luca Parenti | 60c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 969 | 45.9%445 W · 524 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2f…9123backed Luca Parenti | 73c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 316 | 56.3%178 W · 138 L | +19.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c97…5c66backed Luca Parenti | 71c | 26.53$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.84 | 483 | 55.1%266 W · 217 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…0111backed Luca Parenti | 52c | 23.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.28 | 1,102 | 56.5%623 W · 479 L | +52.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Lorenzo Berto | 43c | 23.26$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.26 | 601 | 41.1%247 W · 354 L | -11.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.