South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CD Guadalajara win on 2026-02-01?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x71ff2e5ccbe59c4b2b723cb5953dda01c892258d138994747d3b5711f7bba7f1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,297
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,821
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,297 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Yes | 74c | 2,418$1,797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621.71 | 300 | 48%144 W · 156 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 22c | 1,315$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.94 | 88 | 29.5%26 W · 62 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed No | 29c | 928.26$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.17 | 313 | 49.8%156 W · 157 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 33c | 838.42$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.74 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed No | 37c | 561.53$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.04 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 58c | 227.99$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.03 | 181 | 29.8%54 W · 127 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed No | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 47c | 168.43$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.16 | 208 | 46.6%97 W · 111 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…2b3abacked Yes | 78c | 167.71$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.71 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked No | 7c | 161.2$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.08 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | -7.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 48c | 156.47$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.54 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c40…7c34backed Yes | 52c | 154.86$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.29 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed No | 9c | 152$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 58 | 0%0 W · 58 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ec…40edbacked Yes | 51c | 145.31$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.2 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes | 37c | 137.84$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.84 | 308 | 41.2%127 W · 181 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked Yes | 53c | 137.04$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.61 | 212 | 51.9%110 W · 102 L | +14.3wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Yes | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 41c | 122.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.85 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e65…d9f0backed Yes | 53c | 115.78$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.53 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…15c2backed Yes | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 130 | 41.5%54 W · 76 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 19c | 94$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.86 | 88 | 8%7 W · 81 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 54c | 92.11$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.78 | 165 | 34.5%57 W · 108 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69b6…a5f3backed Yes | 52c | 80$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70c8…006cbacked Yes | 54c | 70.44$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.44 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d91…df18backed No | 43c | 67.67$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.26 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 49c | 53.36$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.04 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed Yes | 78c | 51.28$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 108 | 80.6%87 W · 21 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 76cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8d…e22dbacked Yes | 56c | 45.36$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.96 | 79 | 30.4%24 W · 55 L | -9.3wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea9…469bbacked Yes | 52c | 40.9$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Yes | 52c | 35.21$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.94 | 274 | 42%115 W · 159 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x263f…c744backed Yes | 53c | 32.69$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.36 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 53c | 31.32$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96be…9947backed Yes | 51c | 30.65$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3003…f8c4backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CD Guadalajara win on 2026-02-01?this page
- Will Atlético San Luis vs. CD Guadalajara end in a draw?No won
- Will Atlético San Luis win on 2026-02-01?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.