Tennis · resolved market
Lille: Mikhail Kukushkin vs Giulio Zeppieri
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x720b2a1b1716db37b57ef9fbf8cce676f62ae62937a564f67b167fd31e8e130b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kukushkinof Kukushkin, Zeppieri
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,051
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,186
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,051 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Zeppieri | 61c | 1,954$1,191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,190.76 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Kukushkin | 41c | 1,095$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$644.41 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Zeppieri | 25c | 343$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.75 | 320 | 31.3%100 W · 220 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Zeppieri | 37c | 309.89$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.89 | 491 | 43%211 W · 280 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…a5e3backed Zeppieri | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 387 | 39.3%152 W · 235 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Kukushkin | 55c | 247.87$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.17 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…e826backed Zeppieri | 27c | 186.3$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 693 | 50.5%350 W · 343 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5661…6323backed Kukushkin | 63c | 159.18$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.18 | 102 | 67.6%69 W · 33 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Kukushkin | 55c | 113.87$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.82 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd286…4c1bbacked Zeppieri | 54c | 109.03$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.99 | 88 | 48.9%43 W · 45 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Zeppieri | 60c | 93.1$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.86 | 518 | 49.4%256 W · 262 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca3…0a58backed Zeppieri | 67c | 74.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -3.2wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Zeppieri | 58c | 70.1$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.75 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd29b…b518backed Zeppieri | 44c | 56.42$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 108 | 43.5%47 W · 61 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Zeppieri | 32c | 55.01$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.56 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00cf…d102backed Zeppieri | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 160 | 44.4%71 W · 89 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Zeppieri | 38c | 44$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.75 | 970 | 46.6%452 W · 518 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54a2…5dfebacked Zeppieri | 64c | 41$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.24 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5e…e0f7backed Zeppieri | 42c | 41$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.22 | 275 | 52%143 W · 132 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5151…4e57backed Zeppieri | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 35 | 74.3%26 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4934…cca1backed Zeppieri | 63c | 39.84$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 84 | 63.1%53 W · 31 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Kukushkin | 58c | 29.78$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.43 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a0…2139backed Zeppieri | 63c | 29.37$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.46 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Kukushkin | 74c | 27.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 884 | 55%486 W · 398 L | +37.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Zeppieri | 38c | 27$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 990 | 44.8%444 W · 546 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Zeppieri | 59c | 24.39$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.39 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc653…bb8cbacked Zeppieri | 62c | 24.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 245 | 63.3%155 W · 90 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Kukushkin | 71c | 23.77$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.89 | 580 | 67.8%393 W · 187 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53b9…292abacked Zeppieri | 63c | 20.63$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -3.2wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed Kukushkin | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.