Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will OGC Nice win on 2025-08-23?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x72421a7e1a5e2ed2647beb0ffdebf3b94558f8b94d98d4a934d0df11db2a9164
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,184
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,299
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,184 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Yes | 66c | 4,128$2,712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,416.45 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed No | 36c | 2,000$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 47c | 1,631$771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770.71 | 144 | 52.1%75 W · 69 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Yes | 56c | 1,023$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.51 | 89 | 76.4%68 W · 21 L | +17.9wins | +0.20per pick | 56cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 67+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed No | 37c | 950.62$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.52 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 54c | 428.17$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.96 | 113 | 55.8%63 W · 50 L | +7.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda0f…f0e7backed Yes | 73c | 370$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.9 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 50c | 343.99$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.02 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 37c | 315$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.4 | 202 | 32.7%66 W · 136 L | -10.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes | 71c | 263.79$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.5 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed No | 46c | 217.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 18c | 150$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.36 | 246 | 42.3%104 W · 142 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Yes | 58c | 112.07$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.07 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -4.3wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed No | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 28cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 50c | 83.86$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.59 | 110 | 70%77 W · 33 L | +18.3wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 45c | 41.92$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.89 | 208 | 60.6%126 W · 82 L | +12.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Yes | 63c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1873…37b6backed Yes | 53c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed No | 40c | 38.07$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.23 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd73…f7adbacked Yes | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed No | 42c | 24$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 229 | 27.5%63 W · 166 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will OGC Nice win on 2025-08-23?this page
- Will AJ Auxerre win on 2025-08-23?No won
- Will OGC Nice vs. AJ Auxerre end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.