Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will AZ win on 2026-01-10?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x724cb0fa771380477dc2acd842c59b0cf2a6d862c2b840644acb729d70635748
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,225
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,096
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,225 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 9c | 5,473$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.91 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 9c | 5,368$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.99 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked No | 18c | 2,777$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.86 | 92 | 27.2%25 W · 67 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked No | 10c | 1,249$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.18 | 135 | 28.9%39 W · 96 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 19c | 925.5$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.36 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35b9…1d44backed No | 17c | 599.99$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | +6.0wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 9c | 400$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 853 | 40.1%342 W · 511 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed No | 11c | 376.4$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.4 | 105 | 24.8%26 W · 79 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked No | 17c | 211.67$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.98 | 294 | 25.9%76 W · 218 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked No | 23c | 149.8$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.45 | 570 | 19.8%113 W · 457 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 13c | 145.42$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.31 | 598 | 55.5%332 W · 266 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked No | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f5…8be3backed No | 19c | 63$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked No | 17c | 59.98$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 162 | 48.1%78 W · 84 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfaa…82a3backed Yes | 80c | 16.87$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.37 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 62cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed Yes | 80c | 15.62$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.12 | 137 | 70.8%97 W · 40 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 76cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will AZ win on 2026-01-10?this page
- Will AZ vs. FC Volendam end in a draw?No won
- Will FC Volendam win on 2026-01-10?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.