NHL · resolved market
KHL: Ak Bars Kazan vs. Metallurg Magnitogorsk
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x72c9311f20e5a472b7a8b51d626cd18830f1fe25068c32c249e68a7fe6272f66
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ak Bars Kazanof Ak Bars Kazan, Metallurg Magnitogorsk
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,788
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,854
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,788 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7002…395cbacked Ak Bars Kazan | 58c | 2,797$1,635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,162.42 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 35c | 1,779$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625.46 | 418 | 42.8%179 W · 239 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15c5…4692backed Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 36c | 550$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.4 | 279 | 47.3%132 W · 147 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa18d…9b51backed Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x823e…dca8backed Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 46c | 498$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.94 | 502 | 51.2%257 W · 245 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 45c | 389$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.05 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Ak Bars Kazan | 53c | 346.1$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.27 | 133 | 36.1%48 W · 85 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 33c | 337.59$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.07 | 253 | 45.5%115 W · 138 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea6a…3ee2backed Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 33c | 298.33$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.88 | 524 | 51%267 W · 257 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 47c | 280$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.6 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd65c…9a48backed Ak Bars Kazan | 55c | 256.17$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.67 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…70ecbacked Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 45c | 220.78$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.35 | 203 | 50.7%103 W · 100 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 18c | 200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 47c | 180.85$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 1,093 | 51.8%566 W · 527 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 35c | 120$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 49c | 113.83$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.81 | 865 | 49.1%425 W · 440 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 116 | 55.2%64 W · 52 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3396…b9f5backed Ak Bars Kazan | 54c | 91.82$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.82 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9f…8e23backed Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 47c | 77.74$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.34 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3c…9320backed Ak Bars Kazan | 52c | 77.04$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.04 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a7a…9ca2backed Ak Bars Kazan | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Ak Bars Kazan | 49c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 924 | 44.5%411 W · 513 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Ak Bars Kazan | 66c | 43.42$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.69 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 46c | 41.38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.03 | 159 | 44.7%71 W · 88 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e4…24c2backed Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 181 | 49.7%90 W · 91 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x229c…641ebacked Ak Bars Kazan | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff7…d3c9backed Ak Bars Kazan | 72c | 37.73$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.73 | 62 | 67.7%42 W · 20 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +10%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc45d…de2fbacked Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 47c | 34.04$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 195 | 48.2%94 W · 101 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7818…fde8backed Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 40cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Ak Bars Kazan | 54c | 30.43$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 425 | 58.6%249 W · 176 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Ak Bars Kazan | 53c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 81 | 50.6%41 W · 40 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x396d…86f3backed Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 47c | 24.26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Ak Bars Kazan | 51c | 23.33$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.43 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabf6…129dbacked Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 51c | 23.14$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 110 | 50.9%56 W · 54 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb188…8be3backed Ak Bars Kazan | 53c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.81 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.7wins | -0.26per pick | 48cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0e3c…aa02backed Ak Bars Kazan | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -3.1wins | -0.28per pick | 55cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0cef…9d08backed Ak Bars Kazan | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.