NHL · resolved market
Predators vs. Canucks: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x72f9254e73d3f6c03e31b48d9980e379ab5bc35b5f4750ef8359589eb5ad8d99
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,317
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,317 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Over | 47c | 4,022$1,889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,132.87 | 515 | 50.7%261 W · 254 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under | 53c | 2,222$1,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,177.66 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cac…1695backed Under | 51c | 1,716$877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$876.98 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…0e84backed Under | 54c | 1,678$906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$906.09 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 47c | 1,281$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$677.67 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69ff…0d1dbacked Under | 53c | 1,100$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583 | 271 | 50.2%136 W · 135 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 46c | 839.06$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.09 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 55c | 585$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.05 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Over | 45c | 563.22$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.18 | 69 | 30.4%21 W · 48 L | -8.8wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 46c | 504$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.16 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Under | 54c | 457$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.46 | 868 | 52.4%455 W · 413 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4112…5d9dbacked Over | 46c | 396.82$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.57 | 156 | 51.3%80 W · 76 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Under | 53c | 340.26$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 1,093 | 51.8%566 W · 527 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 46c | 180.12$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.27 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 42c | 161.91$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.96 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 67c | 133.08$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.5 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67be…8a3bbacked Under | 47c | 95.16$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 187 | 46.5%87 W · 100 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Over | 65c | 94.21$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.38 | 1,107 | 52%576 W · 531 L | +63.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked Over | 42c | 86.85$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.16 | 86 | 53.5%46 W · 40 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f1…d87bbacked Under | 54c | 74.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.49 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 57c | 60.7$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.86 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 51c | 58.54$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.62 | 920 | 49.7%457 W · 463 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1c…1f45backed Over | 47c | 57.37$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Under | 66c | 56.36$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.14 | 384 | 47.4%182 W · 202 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Over | 47c | 53.34$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.49 | 234 | 50%117 W · 117 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked Under | 56c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 349 | 49.9%174 W · 175 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd4c…394abacked Under | 54c | 37.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Under | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 565 | 53.6%303 W · 262 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a2…ff3bbacked Under | 54c | 36.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 80 | 55%44 W · 36 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffea…5f0abacked Over | 34c | 31.7$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.84 | 185 | 57.8%107 W · 78 L | +16.7wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Over | 46c | 31.4$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.96 | 607 | 41%249 W · 358 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6330…1444backed Under | 71c | 31.38$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.21 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 266 | 57.1%152 W · 114 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd866…55e0backed Over | 66c | 26.08$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.74 | 18 | 88.9%16 W · 2 L | +5.5wins | +0.30per pick | 59cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Under | 60c | 17.29$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c75…de96backed Over | 79c | 16.94$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.51 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Predators vs. Canucks: O/U 6.5this page
- Predators vs. CanucksCanucks won
- Predators vs. Canucks: O/U 4.5Over won
- Predators vs. Canucks: O/U 5.5Over won
- Spread: Predators (-1.5)Canucks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.