NHL · resolved market
Spread: Predators (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8d4bd684f36c1b19eb95647714a7dec23e9f362dfd588bc7aba7842bd7a1f59d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Canucksof Predators, Canucks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,259
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,259 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Canucks | 62c | 2,222$1,378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$844.36 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Predators | 38c | 1,914$727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$727 | 366 | 48.6%178 W · 188 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x009b…e769backed Canucks | 63c | 786.14$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.14 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Predators | 38c | 653.64$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.09 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4112…5d9dbacked Predators | 36c | 444.46$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.04 | 156 | 51.3%80 W · 76 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Canucks | 66c | 298.11$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.8 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Predators | 36c | 262.54$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.93 | 381 | 47.2%180 W · 201 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Predators | 30c | 243.04$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 190 | 33.7%64 W · 126 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Canucks | 63c | 208.14$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.01 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed Predators | 36c | 174$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.22 | 91 | 41.8%38 W · 53 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -26%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd08…0635backed Predators | 71c | 144$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.24 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe96b…eb54backed Predators | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Predators | 38c | 131.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 786 | 51.8%407 W · 379 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Canucks | 65c | 122.15$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.15 | 811 | 57.2%464 W · 347 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Canucks | 29c | 116$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.36 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Predators | 37c | 116$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.24 | 860 | 49.2%423 W · 437 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x011b…fcc3backed Canucks | 65c | 107.15$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.15 | 177 | 59.9%106 W · 71 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2942…a018backed Canucks | 66c | 103.71$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.71 | 215 | 60.9%131 W · 84 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Predators | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda4f…77e9backed Canucks | 63c | 82.77$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.04 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -4.8wins | -0.21per pick | 51cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3c04…2e2dbacked Canucks | 65c | 77.91$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.91 | 542 | 60.3%327 W · 215 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe2…6158backed Canucks | 64c | 54.69$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.69 | 401 | 62.1%249 W · 152 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5467…ffffbacked Predators | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -7.6wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -20%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1c…1f45backed Canucks | 77c | 46.48$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.61 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Canucks | 51c | 45.35$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.3 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Canucks | 62c | 40.32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.32 | 565 | 53.6%303 W · 262 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Predators | 37c | 35.96$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.37 | 451 | 51.2%231 W · 220 L | +16.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Canucks | 64c | 32.67$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 690 | 61.6%425 W · 265 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Canucks | 62c | 29.98$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.24 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec66…e58fbacked Canucks | 65c | 24.69$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.69 | 336 | 60.7%204 W · 132 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Predators | 48c | 22.46$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 384 | 47.4%182 W · 202 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07c9…9f5bbacked Canucks | 64c | 21.88$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.88 | 365 | 61.9%226 W · 139 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2e…aee7backed Canucks | 70c | 21.21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Canucks | 69c | 16.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.26 | 920 | 49.7%457 W · 463 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Predators (-1.5)this page
- Predators vs. CanucksCanucks won
- Predators vs. Canucks: O/U 4.5Over won
- Predators vs. Canucks: O/U 5.5Over won
- Predators vs. Canucks: O/U 6.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.