Tennis · resolved market
Metepec: Blaise Bicknell vs Karl Poling
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x72fd09c6e1065923561869b484326d23952acc6ea47fb1470946044f1e8a8992
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Polingof Bicknell, Poling
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,155
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,837
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,155 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Poling | 29c | 722.25$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.03 | 373 | 30.3%113 W · 260 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Bicknell | 65c | 532.1$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.81 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Poling | 38c | 326.23$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.84 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Bicknell | 72c | 314$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.87 | 970 | 46.6%452 W · 518 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecc2…eeefbacked Bicknell | 78c | 300$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Poling | 34c | 256.84$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.51 | 2,043 | 47.8%977 W · 1,066 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb31…7b95backed Poling | 30c | 241.33$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.93 | 680 | 26.2%178 W · 502 L | -24.5wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76ca…6a3abacked Poling | 35c | 227.58$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.58 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Bicknell | 65c | 180$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 273 | 44.7%122 W · 151 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb740…2ec1backed Bicknell | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 351 | 57%200 W · 151 L | -13.4wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Poling | 54c | 120.01$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.93 | 7,968 | 50.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L | +92.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Bicknell | 66c | 114.2$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.07 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Poling | 35c | 109.07$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.75 | 1,980 | 46.2%915 W · 1,065 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Bicknell | 22c | 108.41$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.07 | 1,381 | 16.4%227 W · 1,154 L | -108.5wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3578…f163backed Bicknell | 66c | 107.95$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.25 | 398 | 72.4%288 W · 110 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Poling | 34c | 99.97$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.98 | 1,212 | 33.1%401 W · 811 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5e…4167backed Bicknell | 76c | 98.77$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.61 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Bicknell | 63c | 98.48$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.35 | 121 | 47.1%57 W · 64 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Bicknell | 33c | 89.98$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 884 | 55%486 W · 398 L | +37.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca3…0a58backed Bicknell | 61c | 81.96$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -3.2wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Poling | 37c | 80.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.63 | 398 | 50%199 W · 199 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Poling | 37c | 67.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.57 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Bicknell | 67c | 62.84$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.1 | 470 | 57.2%269 W · 201 L | +16.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Poling | 23c | 46.85$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.2 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Bicknell | 67c | 42$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.99 | 1,008 | 46%464 W · 544 L | -19.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Bicknell | 36c | 39.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.34 | 6,840 | 48.8%3,341 W · 3,499 L | +58.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb846…b8d0backed Bicknell | 66c | 36.06$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 69 | 52.2%36 W · 33 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked Bicknell | 75c | 32.4$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.25 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7692…bcc9backed Bicknell | 65c | 30.54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf69b…d240backed Bicknell | 65c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 169 | 59.2%100 W · 69 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Bicknell | 70c | 19.97$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Metepec: Blaise Bicknell vs Karl Polingthis page
- Set 1 Winner: Bicknell vs PolingBicknell won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.