Mls · resolved market
Spread: Orlando City SC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x730f7576a0fb011e81e35fb401e96aa5dcd9011727e0c2de553da9925a75687a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Orlando City SCof Orlando City SC, Charlotte FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,955
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,767
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,955 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Charlotte FC | 74c | 16,418$12,093 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,092.85 | 193 | 47.2%91 W · 102 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Orlando City SC | 24c | 7,647$1,859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,787.68 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Orlando City SC | 27c | 4,083$1,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,998.92 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Orlando City SC | 23c | 2,137$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,647.52 | 580 | 43.6%253 W · 327 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Orlando City SC | 17c | 1,647$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,366.95 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac83…239cbacked Orlando City SC | 16c | 1,006$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$844.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 16cpaid | +212.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Orlando City SC | 14c | 820.82$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708.71 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Orlando City SC | 13c | 591.88$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.52 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +7.5wins | +0.29per pick | 37cpaid | +92.9%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x54a2…1d43backed Orlando City SC | 67c | 561$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.13 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +14.3wins | +0.26per pick | 21cpaid | +225.7%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Orlando City SC | 18c | 522.68$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.5 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Orlando City SC | 24c | 508$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.55 | 923 | 46.6%430 W · 493 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6d…3070backed Orlando City SC | 24c | 221.21$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.87 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Orlando City SC | 27c | 140.01$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.66 | 208 | 49.5%103 W · 105 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Orlando City SC | 18c | 120$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.7 | 287 | 21.6%62 W · 225 L | -29.9wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2970…0e3abacked Orlando City SC | 16c | 118.88$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.84per pick | 16cpaid | +525%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Orlando City SC | 30c | 102.08$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.45 | 96 | 60.4%58 W · 38 L | +9.4wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Orlando City SC | 27c | 89.39$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.99 | 360 | 51.9%187 W · 173 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9825…9ffcbacked Orlando City SC | 27c | 88.54$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.63 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed Orlando City SC | 15c | 82.06$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.75 | 109 | 57.8%63 W · 46 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…fd6ebacked Orlando City SC | 33c | 72.71$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.72 | 76 | 44.7%34 W · 42 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Orlando City SC | 27c | 67.76$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.13 | 249 | 20.9%52 W · 197 L | -19.4wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Orlando City SC | 25c | 45.54$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.06 | 59 | 28.8%17 W · 42 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1cc…28a0backed Charlotte FC | 71c | 41.52$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.48 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 66cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Orlando City SC (-1.5)this page
- Orlando City SC vs. Charlotte FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Orlando City SC vs. Charlotte FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Orlando City SC vs. Charlotte FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Orlando City SC vs. Charlotte FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Orlando City SC vs. Charlotte FC: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Charlotte FC (-1.5)Orlando City SC won
- Spread: Charlotte FC (-2.5)Orlando City SC won
- Spread: Orlando City SC (-2.5)Orlando City SC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.