F1 · resolved market
Will there be a safety car during the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x73142e3656257271a13a3b10d8c7099a839735f597bf33fc43ef98405ad58592
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- F1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,163
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,163 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in F1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8c76…06acbacked No | 44c | 789.94$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.53 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x30ee…a587backed Yes | 55c | 583.8$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.6 | 91 | 64.8%59 W · 32 L | +13.8wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 32c | 402.58$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.37 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4db2…448abacked Yes | 70c | 282.73$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.23 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 30c | 263.25$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.98 | 208 | 43.3%90 W · 118 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x168a…da29backed Yes | 67c | 158.03$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.15 | 144 | 58.3%84 W · 60 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…7976backed No | 34c | 148.8$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 68 | 29.4%20 W · 48 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f6…4f7fbacked Yes | 68c | 138.05$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.18 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +2.5wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 58c | 124.01$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.38 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c09…4073backed No | 29c | 104.84$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.46 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +191.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0115…ac79backed No | 42c | 102.23$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73ed…5f9ebacked Yes | 68c | 101.55$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 40cpaid | -75.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8117…d501backed No | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.04 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Yes | 65c | 94.92$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.68 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x672f…13ccbacked No | 55c | 91.63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -55%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Yes | 62c | 86.11$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.72 | 116 | 37.9%44 W · 72 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x414b…f2b3backed Yes | 69c | 78.58$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.36 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 74cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x508a…535ebacked Yes | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89b1…799abacked No | 36c | 69.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa98…b0c1backed No | 25c | 69.37$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.37 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc13…5349backed Yes | 72c | 69.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2be9…00bbbacked Yes | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed No | 33c | 51.25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.71 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed No | 32c | 51$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x000b…b712backed No | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ad…d00bbacked Yes | 64c | 35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5c…b693backed Yes | 62c | 34.36$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.08 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d2…7ad6backed Yes | 56c | 34.05$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.88 | 100 | 65%65 W · 35 L | +20.3wins | +0.20per pick | 45cpaid | +66.6%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x350f…fc5bbacked Yes | 70c | 28.73$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.62 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd7…efebbacked Yes | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ff…a74cbacked Yes | 72c | 27.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -31%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf802…d91dbacked Yes | 57c | 23.26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3fa…9facbacked Yes | 65c | 22.56$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12bc…7910backed Yes | 68c | 22.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.