Tennis · resolved market
Rotterdam Open, Qualification: Hamad Medjedovic vs Nikoloz Basilashvili
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7324e4cfd6df39b46508fe5821669eed592891de8bf9269340619f319b265175
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Medjedovicof Medjedovic, Basilashvili
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,122
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,107
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,122 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Basilashvili | 1c | 4,260$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.07 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Basilashvili | 26c | 2,498$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$641.81 | 254 | 28%71 W · 183 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…6f9abacked Medjedovic | 74c | 1,490$1,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.24 | 930 | 55.8%519 W · 411 L | +23.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2020…7e22backed Medjedovic | 77c | 1,302$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.9 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +5.8wins | +0.15per pick | 40cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Medjedovic | 75c | 1,275$956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.75 | 872 | 51.1%446 W · 426 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Basilashvili | 13c | 916.41$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.03 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Basilashvili | 25c | 850$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.5 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Basilashvili | 24c | 805.95$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.61 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Medjedovic | 73c | 500$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 421 | 41.8%176 W · 245 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Basilashvili | 15c | 464.5$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.65 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Basilashvili | 24c | 395$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.8 | 761 | 40.6%309 W · 452 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Basilashvili | 22c | 281.83$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 347 | 45.2%157 W · 190 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Basilashvili | 28c | 251.47$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1,414 | 41.1%581 W · 833 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Medjedovic | 76c | 219.01$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.56 | 491 | 43%211 W · 280 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Basilashvili | 7c | 200$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 459 | 9.6%44 W · 415 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Basilashvili | 8c | 170.3$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.19 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Basilashvili | 24c | 160.17$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.44 | 530 | 58.1%308 W · 222 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Medjedovic | 75c | 152.68$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.84 | 275 | 43.3%119 W · 156 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f17…9ab3backed Medjedovic | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 86 | 66.3%57 W · 29 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Basilashvili | 26c | 117.04$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,142 | 47.3%540 W · 602 L | +65.6wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Basilashvili | 21c | 103.04$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.64 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc5…908abacked Medjedovic | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 587 | 53.7%315 W · 272 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd420…01fcbacked Medjedovic | 75c | 85.33$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.33 | 131 | 58%76 W · 55 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Basilashvili | 24c | 80$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 1,028 | 33.6%345 W · 683 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Basilashvili | 25c | 59.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,212 | 33.1%401 W · 811 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee9…1362backed Basilashvili | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 725 | 42.6%309 W · 416 L | -20.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Medjedovic | 76c | 46.35$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.35 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Medjedovic | 73c | 41.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 2,335 | 46.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Medjedovic | 76c | 34$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.18 | 970 | 46.6%452 W · 518 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Medjedovic | 74c | 27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.92 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x192f…352bbacked Medjedovic | 76c | 26.23$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.23 | 36 | 69.4%25 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf104…d34cbacked Medjedovic | 78c | 22.61$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.97 | 48 | 27.1%13 W · 35 L | -6.4wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x67ac…fb20backed Medjedovic | 75c | 15.96$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.96 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rotterdam Open, Qualification: Hamad Medjedovic vs Nikoloz Basilashvilithis page
- Set Handicap: Medjedovic (-1.5) vs Basilashvili (+1.5)Medjedovic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.