Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2025-10-19?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x734cd9c08fbc9638b1f501709a6a660f1038cecde60d18ca6e358a5704866feb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,706
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,029
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,706 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 66c | 21,241$14,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,156.42 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xade8…b0bdbacked Yes | 31c | 17,170$5,391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,391.41 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Yes | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060 | 146 | 54.1%79 W · 67 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked No | 46c | 1,711$792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$919.38 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…9974backed Yes | 46c | 1,089$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 51c | 1,084$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.11 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5675…f99cbacked Yes | 54c | 740.74$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 28c | 500$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 246 | 42.3%104 W · 142 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Yes | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc3…72bebacked Yes | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79cc…8026backed Yes | 53c | 336.83$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 58c | 323$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.31 | 339 | 38.1%129 W · 210 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 31c | 298.34$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.01 | 260 | 40.4%105 W · 155 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Yes | 54c | 267.64$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.19 | 130 | 50.8%66 W · 64 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e0…22d2backed Yes | 77c | 258.08$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 55c | 246.36$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.86 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf575…e0ebbacked Yes | 45c | 220.8$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.36 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Yes | 54c | 199.73$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -4.3wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1b55…2eaebacked Yes | 80c | 192.61$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 143 | 40.6%58 W · 85 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 54c | 166.68$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.08 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…ee5abacked Yes | 30c | 166.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.95 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | -4.2wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x891d…dd26backed Yes | 53c | 137.74$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf08b…9a7dbacked Yes | 39c | 127$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.53 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf38…0912backed Yes | 80c | 125$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 79cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9999…9868backed Yes | 54c | 111.2$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.05 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed No | 46c | 110$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.4 | 116 | 44.8%52 W · 64 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed No | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +56.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9264…bca3backed Yes | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 49c | 80$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.8 | 351 | 57%200 W · 151 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedb1…3fddbacked Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4de9…4ab1backed Yes | 44c | 64$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.16 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 58c | 61.11$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.79 | 215 | 60%129 W · 86 L | +15.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf672…c3c4backed Yes | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Yes | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x17ae…ccf1backed Yes | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -4.7wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xab7a…8357backed Yes | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 43c | 34$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.38 | 208 | 60.6%126 W · 82 L | +12.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3459…808abacked Yes | 43c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf8…cb04backed Yes | 54c | 22.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 52c | 20.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 190 | 55.8%106 W · 84 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc061…a297backed Yes | 58c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2025-10-19?this page
- Will AJ Auxerre win on 2025-10-19?No won
- Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. AJ Auxerre end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.