Tennis · resolved market
ITF W15 Tianjin 4 Women: Vasilisa Kochkadaeva vs Jiangxue Han
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x736a409b8efae48c781267f0634eb4524736b27c53d29fede306d03fcfea16c4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jiangxue Hanof Vasilisa Kochkadaeva, Jiangxue Han
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,515
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,976
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,515 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Jiangxue Han | 60c | 566.58$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.8 | 11,325 | 43.4%4,912 W · 6,413 L | +18.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x168c…f24bbacked Jiangxue Han | 76c | 443.06$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.28 | 618 | 57.8%357 W · 261 L | -17.4wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Vasilisa Kochkadaeva | 56c | 224.73$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.52 | 3,631 | 54.9%1,995 W · 1,636 L | +110.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Vasilisa Kochkadaeva | 36c | 188.88$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.15 | 1,252 | 38.8%486 W · 766 L | -23.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5513…de2abacked Vasilisa Kochkadaeva | 29c | 163.94$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.92 | 737 | 38.8%286 W · 451 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Vasilisa Kochkadaeva | 27c | 126$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.48 | 2,111 | 56.1%1,184 W · 927 L | +42.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Vasilisa Kochkadaeva | 24c | 125.4$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.95 | 6,419 | 46.4%2,978 W · 3,441 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Vasilisa Kochkadaeva | 58c | 88.98$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.61 | 7,745 | 50.6%3,916 W · 3,829 L | +93.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Jiangxue Han | 69c | 47.86$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.96 | 1,624 | 54.4%883 W · 741 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Jiangxue Han | 72c | 31$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.68 | 4,584 | 48.3%2,215 W · 2,369 L | +35.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb8…8edbbacked Jiangxue Han | 50c | 24.4$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd5a…e7e2backed Vasilisa Kochkadaeva | 50c | 24.4$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b25…7a69backed Vasilisa Kochkadaeva | 62c | 24.34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 78 | 42.3%33 W · 45 L | -8.5wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf236…6463backed Vasilisa Kochkadaeva | 50c | 23.8$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79d6…736ebacked Jiangxue Han | 50c | 23.8$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Vasilisa Kochkadaeva | 63c | 21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 892 | 63.8%569 W · 323 L | +62.9wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.