CS2 · resolved market
BLAST Bounty: B8 vs. MOUZ
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7374f7048a19404e813c47d6ea3f88126de63d6d12b4551711da7674a499392f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MOUZof B8, MOUZ
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $65,678
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $84,232
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,678 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8b1d…74ccbacked B8 | 15c | 16,649$2,497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,497.29 | 82 | 37.8%31 W · 51 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16f0…a28dbacked B8 | 14c | 5,769$828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$827.77 | 55 | 65.5%36 W · 19 L | +6.9wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf1…c324backed B8 | 8c | 4,915$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.19 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +28%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed B8 | 8c | 3,699$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.24 | 458 | 48.5%222 W · 236 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed B8 | 5c | 912.85$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.12 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x644b…2145backed B8 | 18c | 777.77$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 157 | 49%77 W · 80 L | +11.4wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x15ff…62ccbacked B8 | 16c | 621.4$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d0…5c32backed B8 | 17c | 608.06$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.37 | 163 | 35%57 W · 106 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb950…4dd4backed B8 | 16c | 556.1$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.66 | 567 | 38.8%220 W · 347 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked B8 | 6c | 542.14$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.1 | 263 | 51.3%135 W · 128 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked B8 | 18c | 500$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1,146 | 49.4%566 W · 580 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6adc…75e7backed MOUZ | 78c | 384.62$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.62 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed B8 | 13c | 364.96$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.28 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xecba…5fb4backed MOUZ | 76c | 300$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 245 | 54.7%134 W · 111 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8389…db1bbacked B8 | 17c | 294.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 76 | 36.8%28 W · 48 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77fb…849ebacked B8 | 13c | 247.84$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.22 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -57%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40d5…bfe9backed B8 | 16c | 230$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.8 | 634 | 45.3%287 W · 347 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked B8 | 11c | 205.16$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 3,259 | 50.3%1,639 W · 1,620 L | +98.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked B8 | 16c | 200$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 421 | 49.6%209 W · 212 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd93…bd6fbacked B8 | 25c | 160.12$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38b8…5d35backed B8 | 16c | 110$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 364 | 37.4%136 W · 228 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6038…57efbacked B8 | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.18per pick | 39cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.