South American Leagues · resolved market
Pumas de la UNAM vs. Club León FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7395fe1f4786b0cb6bdbd13a3788b680260803a6d5ba6a3f01e6d223eb249953
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,148
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,314
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,148 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x43de…d169backed Over | 51c | 820.77$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -4.2wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 50c | 382.42$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.83 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 52c | 336.31$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.6 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 51c | 209.73$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.4 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd851…9305backed Over | 51c | 180$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.8 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Under | 72c | 113.98$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.96 | 636 | 44.7%284 W · 352 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Over | 49c | 103.94$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.5 | 143 | 35.7%51 W · 92 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 66 | 22.7%15 W · 51 L | -6.9wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2496…50a5backed Over | 42c | 96.05$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.16 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 51c | 72.55$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 57c | 70.17$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.14 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Under | 48c | 69$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.88 | 250 | 21.6%54 W · 196 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 47c | 55.6$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.37 | 769 | 51.5%396 W · 373 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Over | 40c | 47.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc504…8cfebacked Over | 47c | 42.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -4.5wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e6…71e4backed Over | 51c | 42$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.42 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -4.5wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x85a0…511ebacked Under | 64c | 40.03$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +55.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52f6…4313backed Under | 80c | 37.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e54…8f4dbacked Under | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Under | 52c | 35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 76c | 32.89$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.89 | 723 | 50.5%365 W · 358 L | -24.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 36c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 373 | 55.2%206 W · 167 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb717…a67fbacked Under | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0aae…e845backed Under | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.18per pick | 43cpaid | +69.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x07eb…4b4cbacked Under | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88d0…524cbacked Under | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.29per pick | 54cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef9…b5bfbacked Under | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62f0…afe6backed Under | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Under | 48c | 27.05$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.07 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pumas de la UNAM vs. Club León FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Pumas de la UNAM vs. Club León FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Pumas de la UNAM vs. Club León FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Pumas de la UNAM vs. Club León FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Pumas de la UNAM vs. Club León FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.