Asian League · resolved market
Will Gwangju FC win on 2025-11-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7396aaa618bfbe1d535a9283e64a6d6a0a999d8d4787959a36b25a22a566685d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,866
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,335
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,866 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1f7d…5769backed Yes | 59c | 4,350$2,562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,788 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 48cpaid | +94.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 41c | 3,003$1,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,232.26 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 45c | 1,657$746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745.56 | 57 | 24.6%14 W · 43 L | -7.8wins | -0.14per pick | 38cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 43c | 1,454$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.72 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9881…446fbacked Yes | 57c | 1,232$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +76.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 37c | 532.14$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.27 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked No | 66c | 508.91$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 58c | 482.98$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.65 | 238 | 45.8%109 W · 129 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…493bbacked Yes | 79c | 461.79$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.35 | 45 | 66.7%30 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 61c | 450$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.96 | 396 | 55.8%221 W · 175 L | +31.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 34c | 431.35$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.43 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf1…99d3backed Yes | 70c | 411.2$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.2 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 69cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 40c | 388.43$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.43 | 531 | 48.8%259 W · 272 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed No | 37c | 280.21$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.28 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Yes | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 197 | 53.8%106 W · 91 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09b4…702bbacked Yes | 59c | 140$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ada…43b0backed Yes | 56c | 125$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.5 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -4.6wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -28%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaf75…7623backed Yes | 61c | 121.13$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.17 | 10 | 100%10 W · 0 L | +2.8wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 61c | 116.47$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.71 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 35c | 108$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.2 | 236 | 33.5%79 W · 157 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 38c | 105$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.32 | 626 | 52.6%329 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…8502backed No | 46c | 86.96$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb327…0fccbacked Yes | 34c | 58.24$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.44 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 59c | 48.89$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.93 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d4e…8163backed Yes | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7170…3c0cbacked Yes | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Gwangju FC win on 2025-11-22?this page
- Will Gwangju FC vs. Ulsan HD FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Ulsan HD FC win on 2025-11-22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.