Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Çaykur Rizespor win on 2026-03-08?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x73c2118e852fa854103e284cf178fc367bf2f26cf9f0e601e123e96ae0e0a834
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,745
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,745 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 15c | 4,657$711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$711.1 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 39c | 1,738$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677.25 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed No | 25c | 1,250$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.29 | 85 | 35.3%30 W · 55 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +26%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 38c | 940.76$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.49 | 435 | 46.7%203 W · 232 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 62c | 762.9$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.9 | 366 | 47.3%173 W · 193 L | -9.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05d8…31cfbacked Yes | 78c | 760.91$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.74 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 62c | 380.62$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.64 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Yes | 62c | 289.34$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.29 | 387 | 47.5%184 W · 203 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf60b…c18ebacked No | 39c | 284.34$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.89 | 96 | 39.6%38 W · 58 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 39c | 249.16$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.17 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 39c | 247.36$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.47 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 39c | 223.46$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.15 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…e1b2backed No | 21c | 200$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c5…50cdbacked Yes | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 113 | 43.4%49 W · 64 L | +7.8wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked Yes | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 318 | 60.4%192 W · 126 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd8…5cdbbacked Yes | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 55cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x69dd…1964backed Yes | 78c | 154.44$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.44 | 102 | 59.8%61 W · 41 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 641 | 43.4%278 W · 363 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked No | 20c | 146.79$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.67 | 283 | 49.1%139 W · 144 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Yes | 61c | 143$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.77 | 146 | 41.1%60 W · 86 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 38c | 142.17$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.55 | 408 | 50.7%207 W · 201 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 26c | 131.27$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.56 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 61c | 117$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.63 | 297 | 42.8%127 W · 170 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 61c | 99.99$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…af56backed No | 25c | 90.29$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.67 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 39c | 60.3$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.52 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Yes | 64c | 60$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 58 | 65.5%38 W · 20 L | +6.0wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 61c | 59.02$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.02 | 292 | 44.9%131 W · 161 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4522…ef10backed Yes | 79c | 50.7$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.7 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 64cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 61c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 773 | 50.2%388 W · 385 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 39c | 44$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.16 | 217 | 55.3%120 W · 97 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7bb…2753backed Yes | 61c | 40.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2326…78d9backed Yes | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -22%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 61c | 32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed Yes | 64c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Yes | 62c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 230 | 61.3%141 W · 89 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Yes | 64c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked No | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 182 | 41.8%76 W · 106 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d8…19c5backed Yes | 62c | 24.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.19 | 48 | 72.9%35 W · 13 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed Yes | 62c | 22.37$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9da…ed70backed Yes | 62c | 19.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.47 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | -8.0wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Çaykur Rizespor win on 2026-03-08?this page
- Will Antalyaspor win on 2026-03-08?No won
- Will Çaykur Rizespor vs. Antalyaspor end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.