Fifa International · resolved market
Spread: Angola (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x73e39cd34329bacf8e871ec97d9f99baab0caa6d5f1bcd4bb3121d32ba90cead
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Angolaof Angola, Central African Republic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,616
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,657
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,616 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Central African Republic | 63c | 214.39$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.8 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Angola | 37c | 205.87$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.7 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28e2…d3abbacked Central African Republic | 53c | 188.66$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 172 | 18.6%32 W · 140 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Angola | 64c | 103$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.38 | 1,492 | 41%612 W · 880 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4740…fa66backed Angola | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 203 | 25.6%52 W · 151 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16f3…e1eebacked Central African Republic | 62c | 100$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 89 | 38.2%34 W · 55 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked Angola | 44c | 98$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 150 | 59.3%89 W · 61 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa775…acbbbacked Angola | 53c | 73.74$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.78 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Angola | 38c | 53.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.17 | 356 | 58.7%209 W · 147 L | +35.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +28%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x29d3…ccf6backed Angola | 36c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 171 | 45%77 W · 94 L | +11.5wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Central African Republic | 64c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76b5…a423backed Angola | 50c | 40.47$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.24 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…6789backed Angola | 47c | 36.68$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.52 | 272 | 55.9%152 W · 120 L | +36.1wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Central African Republic | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 200 | 47%94 W · 106 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x530f…424ebacked Angola | 46c | 29$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Angola (-1.5)this page
- Angola vs. Central African Republic: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Angola vs. Central African Republic: O/U 0.5Over won
- Angola vs. Central African Republic: O/U 1.5Over won
- Angola vs. Central African Republic: O/U 2.5Over won
- Angola vs. Central African Republic: O/U 3.5Under won
- Angola vs. Central African Republic: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Angola (-2.5)Angola won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.