Fifa International · resolved market
Angola vs. Central African Republic: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x206da05a8a9ab68197b2a335fc851efd39b6d540e45ad83a6fa4ae9e128128a3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,622
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,862
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,622 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Over | 78c | 4,502$3,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,002.68 | 205 | 60%123 W · 82 L | +17.0wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +11%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 20c | 3,750$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f2…0ff7backed Under | 3c | 1,212$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.37 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | +18.5wins | +0.20per pick | 28cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 28c | 1,011$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.89 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Under | 27c | 630.1$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.13 | 1,067 | 49.1%524 W · 543 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed Under | 13c | 600$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 30c | 422.2$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.52 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0145…35d0backed Over | 70c | 285.23$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.23 | 148 | 66.9%99 W · 49 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Over | 69c | 205.25$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.63 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Under | 18c | 84.58$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.64 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +9.8wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa775…acbbbacked Over | 73c | 84.14$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.72 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…740cbacked Over | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 90 | 33.3%30 W · 60 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Over | 73c | 45$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.15 | 607 | 52.4%318 W · 289 L | +21.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…03e5backed Over | 73c | 35.32$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.54 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over | 73c | 29$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.83 | 1,492 | 41%612 W · 880 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadcb…c2bebacked Over | 71c | 28.31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.31 | 95 | 32.6%31 W · 64 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 71c | 26.33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.76 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Over | 71c | 21.45$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.22 | 145 | 64.1%93 W · 52 L | +10.1wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Angola vs. Central African Republic: O/U 1.5this page
- Angola vs. Central African Republic: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Angola vs. Central African Republic: O/U 0.5Over won
- Angola vs. Central African Republic: O/U 2.5Over won
- Angola vs. Central African Republic: O/U 3.5Under won
- Angola vs. Central African Republic: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Angola (-1.5)Angola won
- Spread: Angola (-2.5)Angola won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.