Fifa International · resolved market
Angola vs. Central African Republic: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x088e204f4e1c7a6bfc2b14059f4ac21da34e3b560ef30937849882b0277089fa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,556
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,476
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,556 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 22c | 1,302$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.89 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Over | 38c | 862.79$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.55 | 205 | 60%123 W · 82 L | +17.0wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +11%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Under | 79c | 599.97$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.99 | 220 | 41.4%91 W · 129 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Under | 71c | 500$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 1,067 | 49.1%524 W · 543 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 79c | 440.84$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.58 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed Under | 49c | 320$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.6 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x28e2…d3abbacked Under | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 172 | 18.6%32 W · 140 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 21c | 151$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.71 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb93f…4160backed Under | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 96 | 62.5%60 W · 36 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 77c | 124.72$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.27 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8857…4b5bbacked Under | 63c | 76$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.84 | 200 | 53%106 W · 94 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 76c | 67.11$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.11 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 39c | 53.03$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.87 | 373 | 48.3%180 W · 193 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Under | 63c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.3 | 607 | 52.4%318 W · 289 L | +21.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Under | 64c | 38.97$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.08 | 697 | 44.9%313 W · 384 L | +18.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed Under | 48c | 32.79$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.05 | 238 | 58%138 W · 100 L | +14.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5edb…00a9backed Under | 64c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…965abacked Under | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 122 | 52.5%64 W · 58 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…9460backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 356 | 19.4%69 W · 287 L | -21.4wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Angola vs. Central African Republic: O/U 3.5this page
- Angola vs. Central African Republic: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Angola vs. Central African Republic: O/U 0.5Over won
- Angola vs. Central African Republic: O/U 1.5Over won
- Angola vs. Central African Republic: O/U 2.5Over won
- Angola vs. Central African Republic: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Angola (-1.5)Angola won
- Spread: Angola (-2.5)Angola won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.