Tennis · resolved market
Australian Open Men's: Hady Habib vs Zachary Svajda
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x741e09dd5e47b71e14852236e552e0c863c325f91a973a571813d6cfa06dfd9d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Svajdaof Habib, Svajda
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,792
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,230
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,792 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0aa4…dbc5backed Svajda | 63c | 952.94$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.94 | 123 | 35%43 W · 80 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Habib | 36c | 700.35$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.57 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ba…6c27backed Svajda | 63c | 625.28$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.28 | 1,186 | 62.8%745 W · 441 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Habib | 37c | 527.37$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Habib | 38c | 218$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.47 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Habib | 5c | 199.15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca39…4ed7backed Svajda | 63c | 158.96$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.96 | 140 | 60.7%85 W · 55 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Habib | 39c | 130.97$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.39 | 248 | 46%114 W · 134 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…dba8backed Svajda | 63c | 127.48$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.48 | 142 | 59.2%84 W · 58 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Habib | 18c | 106.12$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.1 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Habib | 38c | 99.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 316 | 50%158 W · 158 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Habib | 36c | 95.74$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.15 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c8…dd64backed Svajda | 63c | 79.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.28 | 134 | 61.9%83 W · 51 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x023a…be6bbacked Svajda | 65c | 76.54$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Habib | 39c | 57.66$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.29 | 1,245 | 33.9%422 W · 823 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad8…9bc1backed Habib | 35c | 48.39$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.75 | 138 | 34.1%47 W · 91 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d3a…bfb7backed Svajda | 66c | 48$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -24%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe901…3139backed Svajda | 62c | 36.16$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.74 | 238 | 32.4%77 W · 161 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -24%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca0c…9c40backed Habib | 40c | 34.45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.78 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Habib | 37c | 33.89$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 884 | 55%486 W · 398 L | +37.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f1e…7834backed Svajda | 62c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa21e…0b18backed Habib | 38c | 26.07$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.19per pick | 34cpaid | -50%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Australian Open Men's: Hady Habib vs Zachary Svajdathis page
- Set 1 Winner: Habib vs SvajdaSvajda won
- Set Handicap: Svajda (-1.5) vs Habib (+1.5)Svajda won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.