NHL · resolved market
KHL: HC Dynamo Moscow vs. Lada Togliatti
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x742d3be36805f0b690b76cdf45a6bc235e0a71bdb6f82e0d610b9c1ca3cc88a3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- HC Dynamo Moscowof HC Dynamo Moscow, Lada Togliatti
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,512
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,578
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,512 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7426…b4f5backed Lada Togliatti | 24c | 3,768$905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$904.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29b1…f737backed HC Dynamo Moscow | 77c | 2,760$2,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634.8 | 284 | 47.9%136 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x945b…27c7backed Lada Togliatti | 23c | 2,650$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc903…9f8fbacked Lada Togliatti | 23c | 2,600$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe52d…927ebacked Lada Togliatti | 23c | 1,304$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b26…e5edbacked HC Dynamo Moscow | 76c | 1,050$798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd3…c333backed HC Dynamo Moscow | 76c | 1,000$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +58.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Lada Togliatti | 22c | 918.03$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.97 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61cd…528cbacked HC Dynamo Moscow | 76c | 900$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58f8…dc70backed Lada Togliatti | 23c | 816.77$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.86 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd5d…9a7fbacked HC Dynamo Moscow | 77c | 800$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.35per pick | 68cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b48…1769backed HC Dynamo Moscow | 76c | 800$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x440f…b7d8backed HC Dynamo Moscow | 76c | 800$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.35per pick | 68cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bcc…2077backed HC Dynamo Moscow | 77c | 800$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +137.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd958…0e3cbacked HC Dynamo Moscow | 77c | 650$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…9982backed HC Dynamo Moscow | 77c | 650$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e26…3dd8backed HC Dynamo Moscow | 78c | 641.03$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff0c…c3e4backed HC Dynamo Moscow | 77c | 550$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Lada Togliatti | 23c | 500.27$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.06 | 533 | 37.5%200 W · 333 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf680…63eabacked HC Dynamo Moscow | 77c | 500$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa74c…afb1backed HC Dynamo Moscow | 76c | 500$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb9e…e797backed HC Dynamo Moscow | 78c | 251.87$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked HC Dynamo Moscow | 76c | 140.95$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.83 | 115 | 33.9%39 W · 76 L | -9.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…e5dbbacked HC Dynamo Moscow | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 98 | 62.2%61 W · 37 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50fc…ba9abacked Lada Togliatti | 23c | 105.3$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.22 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5101…4a4fbacked Lada Togliatti | 23c | 65.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 189 | 49.2%93 W · 96 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98df…41b7backed Lada Togliatti | 24c | 63$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +3.0wins | +0.17per pick | 41cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf572…065abacked Lada Togliatti | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Lada Togliatti | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 924 | 44.5%411 W · 513 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Lada Togliatti | 22c | 49.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 346 | 53.2%184 W · 162 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Lada Togliatti | 23c | 47$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.81 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Lada Togliatti | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 780 | 38.5%300 W · 480 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6680…dac9backed HC Dynamo Moscow | 77c | 32.46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.46 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06b1…614cbacked HC Dynamo Moscow | 77c | 29$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.19per pick | 54cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc727…adc2backed HC Dynamo Moscow | 77c | 28$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.44 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf6…129dbacked HC Dynamo Moscow | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 110 | 50.9%56 W · 54 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x418d…baf6backed HC Dynamo Moscow | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa029…c912backed HC Dynamo Moscow | 77c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.75 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11a4…bbe8backed HC Dynamo Moscow | 77c | 21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.83 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc9…801ebacked HC Dynamo Moscow | 77c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.14 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdee3…7b2ebacked HC Dynamo Moscow | 77c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.91 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.28per pick | 50cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84c6…f8afbacked HC Dynamo Moscow | 77c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.68 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.