Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Campbell Fighting Camels vs. Stony Brook Seawolves
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x74304400346a50edbfb5c461e8fc8843717741d6de566d95907f804e920e2f4f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Campbell Fighting Camelsof Campbell Fighting Camels, Stony Brook Seawolves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $56,529
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,529 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Stony Brook Seawolves | 12c | 10,180$1,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,180.47 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f5…1079backed Stony Brook Seawolves | 21c | 3,117$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646.57 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Campbell Fighting Camels | 80c | 2,815$2,246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.63 | 318 | 37.7%120 W · 198 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Stony Brook Seawolves | 26c | 1,709$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.79 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Stony Brook Seawolves | 44c | 566.08$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.07 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Stony Brook Seawolves | 13c | 447.4$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.4 | 934 | 47.9%447 W · 487 L | -19.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Stony Brook Seawolves | 7c | 439.27$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.97 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Stony Brook Seawolves | 36c | 399.25$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.29 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Campbell Fighting Camels | 56c | 331.05$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.66 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a2b…c97cbacked Campbell Fighting Camels | 52c | 297.38$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.74 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…af56backed Stony Brook Seawolves | 13c | 264.38$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.86 | 184 | 39.1%72 W · 112 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Campbell Fighting Camels | 75c | 259.35$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.43 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Campbell Fighting Camels | 57c | 243.51$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.71 | 453 | 51.4%233 W · 220 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Stony Brook Seawolves | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf43c…d7c3backed Campbell Fighting Camels | 57c | 199.98$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.99 | 491 | 57.2%281 W · 210 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x622b…5a4abacked Campbell Fighting Camels | 57c | 198.28$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.26 | 165 | 46.7%77 W · 88 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x989a…afbcbacked Campbell Fighting Camels | 72c | 188.81$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.92 | 703 | 49.6%349 W · 354 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Campbell Fighting Camels | 57c | 185.28$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.71 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Stony Brook Seawolves | 30c | 168.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.47 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Stony Brook Seawolves | 6c | 162.7$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 576 | 55%317 W · 259 L | +17.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Stony Brook Seawolves | 43c | 157.8$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.54 | 379 | 47.8%181 W · 198 L | -26.2wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed Stony Brook Seawolves | 53c | 157.23$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.46 | 94 | 48.9%46 W · 48 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Stony Brook Seawolves | 50c | 143.35$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.47 | 397 | 42.8%170 W · 227 L | -15.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12c3…b054backed Stony Brook Seawolves | 44c | 112.66$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.57 | 135 | 65.9%89 W · 46 L | +12.7wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Stony Brook Seawolves | 25c | 107.46$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Campbell Fighting Camels | 73c | 104.96$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.38 | 771 | 42.3%326 W · 445 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Campbell Fighting Camels | 79c | 103.67$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.66 | 605 | 51.4%311 W · 294 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Campbell Fighting Camels | 56c | 87.71$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.59 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Stony Brook Seawolves | 21c | 72.67$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.51 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Stony Brook Seawolves | 43c | 69.2$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.49 | 430 | 53.3%229 W · 201 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…e81fbacked Stony Brook Seawolves | 43c | 68.95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.74 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2141…1243backed Campbell Fighting Camels | 60c | 66.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Stony Brook Seawolves | 22c | 58.41$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.77 | 932 | 47.3%441 W · 491 L | -22.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e0…a433backed Stony Brook Seawolves | 28c | 53.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.89 | 152 | 46.7%71 W · 81 L | -8.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3020…bc04backed Campbell Fighting Camels | 56c | 47.69$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.98 | 167 | 55.7%93 W · 74 L | +10.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee6…8a9dbacked Stony Brook Seawolves | 44c | 45.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Stony Brook Seawolves | 40c | 33.45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.38 | 258 | 29.5%76 W · 182 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Stony Brook Seawolves | 42c | 27.76$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe31…222abacked Stony Brook Seawolves | 43c | 27.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…6604backed Campbell Fighting Camels | 57c | 25.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.08 | 300 | 50.7%152 W · 148 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee3…bf37backed Campbell Fighting Camels | 58c | 23.85$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.02 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2db9…846cbacked Campbell Fighting Camels | 79c | 17.73$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.72 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Campbell Fighting Camels vs. Stony Brook Seawolvesthis page
- Campbell Fighting Camels vs. Stony Brook Seawolves: O/U 146.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.