CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: UNiTY esports vs Hashiras - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x745c3c9e088d13756b044bb1c023af9b7799e176e3a9efaada4daa13866c5788
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hashirasof UNiTY esports, Hashiras
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,692
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,533
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,692 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Hashiras | 47c | 5,149$2,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,750.38 | 3,259 | 50.3%1,639 W · 1,620 L | +98.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5407…251cbacked UNiTY esports | 55c | 3,300$1,815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,814.99 | 148 | 57.4%85 W · 63 L | +11.9wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x64f7…afa6backed UNiTY esports | 52c | 2,240$1,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,160.57 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Hashiras | 45c | 2,150$978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,171.84 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b6…c7dbbacked UNiTY esports | 52c | 1,435$744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744.36 | 362 | 53.3%193 W · 169 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ca2…5d25backed UNiTY esports | 59c | 1,301$771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770.86 | 177 | 59.9%106 W · 71 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Hashiras | 52c | 746.98$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.23 | 6,501 | 42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L | -79.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…d748backed UNiTY esports | 75c | 583.17$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.3 | 573 | 58.8%337 W · 236 L | +16.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Hashiras | 60c | 448.91$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.24 | 4,238 | 49.2%2,085 W · 2,153 L | +60.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed UNiTY esports | 39c | 375.3$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.85 | 696 | 35.3%246 W · 450 L | -49.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Hashiras | 45c | 370.7$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.89 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Hashiras | 42c | 368.5$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.73 | 5,580 | 47.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L | +47.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Hashiras | 60c | 295.13$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.45 | 4,099 | 51%2,091 W · 2,008 L | +74.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Hashiras | 47c | 281.13$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Hashiras | 46c | 221.57$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.95 | 1,109 | 50.5%560 W · 549 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed UNiTY esports | 48c | 155.01$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.54 | 2,527 | 43.1%1,088 W · 1,439 L | +42.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…e82bbacked UNiTY esports | 66c | 148.42$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.96 | 164 | 46.3%76 W · 88 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Hashiras | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 2,605 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,234 L | +97.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0702…e5eabacked Hashiras | 45c | 96.7$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.19 | 185 | 41.6%77 W · 108 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x912e…0eaebacked UNiTY esports | 18c | 90.54$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.3 | 364 | 34.1%124 W · 240 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb19f…1c86backed UNiTY esports | 16c | 89.03$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.24 | 80 | 33.8%27 W · 53 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…a3babacked Hashiras | 67c | 87$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.71 | 1,117 | 68.6%766 W · 351 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefa8…924ebacked Hashiras | 46c | 84.91$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.75 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9927…f135backed Hashiras | 70c | 70.43$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.32 | 53 | 77.4%41 W · 12 L | +7.5wins | +0.14per pick | 63cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa53f…8c53backed UNiTY esports | 45c | 64.47$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.01 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -4.4wins | -0.37per pick | 45cpaid | -84.6%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed Hashiras | 78c | 63.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.32 | 447 | 48.1%215 W · 232 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66fc…2720backed Hashiras | 48c | 52.75$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.37 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Hashiras | 46c | 43.02$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.02 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Hashiras | 70c | 35.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.75 | 472 | 60%283 W · 189 L | +31.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x839f…c2cebacked UNiTY esports | 44c | 33.06$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.54 | 164 | 51.8%85 W · 79 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef9c…7b3fbacked Hashiras | 40c | 29.02$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.55 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c89…ab1dbacked Hashiras | 50c | 25.68$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +98.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8943…6c65backed Hashiras | 50c | 22.31$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.11 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Hashiras | 46c | 21.51$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.51 | 270 | 15.2%41 W · 229 L | -41.9wins | -0.16per pick | 31cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c9…a454backed Hashiras | 60c | 16.8$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.72 | 106 | 42.5%45 W · 61 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: UNiTY esports vs Hashiras - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: UNiTY esports vs Hashiras (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group CHashiras won
- Counter-Strike: UNiTY esports vs Hashiras - Map 1 WinnerHashiras won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.