College Football · resolved market
North Texas vs. UAB Blazers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x74ae6a1dc4e5415f8fca922b8836c66542536ad92e1ed1f4511fbae9034d136a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- North Texasof North Texas, UAB Blazers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $126,082
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $108,131
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $126,082 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed UAB Blazers | 13c | 40,000$5,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,200 | 272 | 46%125 W · 147 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00d6…aa44backed UAB Blazers | 10c | 28,292$2,829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,829.25 | 127 | 18.9%24 W · 103 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a8…a48ebacked UAB Blazers | 12c | 22,363$2,684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,683.54 | 82 | 36.6%30 W · 52 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb2…a656backed UAB Blazers | 12c | 8,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 115 | 40%46 W · 69 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked UAB Blazers | 11c | 2,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 134 | 17.2%23 W · 111 L | -8.3wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked UAB Blazers | 12c | 1,655$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.6 | 224 | 37.5%84 W · 140 L | -17.3wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed UAB Blazers | 12c | 1,513$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.74 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfca…68fcbacked UAB Blazers | 12c | 1,200$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 471 | 31.4%148 W · 323 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed UAB Blazers | 11c | 999.91$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.99 | 256 | 29.3%75 W · 181 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae68…a807backed UAB Blazers | 3c | 715.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.7 | 22 | 4.5%1 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed UAB Blazers | 11c | 455$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.05 | 568 | 44.5%253 W · 315 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed UAB Blazers | 11c | 429.99$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.3 | 216 | 29.2%63 W · 153 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked UAB Blazers | 11c | 410$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.28 | 292 | 49%143 W · 149 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed UAB Blazers | 11c | 393.37$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.27 | 166 | 35.5%59 W · 107 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2615…6c59backed UAB Blazers | 12c | 300$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 25 | 4%1 W · 24 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 12cpaid | -81.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed UAB Blazers | 12c | 166.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.04 | 244 | 36.9%90 W · 154 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cd…b74cbacked UAB Blazers | 9c | 159.67$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.05 | 258 | 19.8%51 W · 207 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -26%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked UAB Blazers | 14c | 120$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 268 | 46.3%124 W · 144 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…3e9fbacked UAB Blazers | 13c | 104.4$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.48 | 76 | 28.9%22 W · 54 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked UAB Blazers | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 94 | 20.2%19 W · 75 L | -8.0wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- North Texas vs. UAB Blazersthis page
- North Texas vs. UAB Blazers: O/U 68.5Over won
- O/U 69.5Over won
- Spread: North Texas (-17.5)North Texas won
- Spread: North Texas (-18.5)North Texas won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.